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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. SnoSki14
    Perhaps further SW especially if the short term track keep shifting west. It could really enhance the precip though for Saturday aka more flooding rains possible with gusty winds to boot.
  2. SnoSki14
    Good chance his energy gets sucked into the main trough now. Looks entertaining to say the least
  3. SnoSki14
    No it's a cool down. You're going from 80s to 50s for highs and lows in the 30s for an extended period.
  4. SnoSki14
    Things will turn stormy after the warm spell so enjoy it while it lasts. Teleconnections suggest a very active pattern could develop imo.
  5. SnoSki14
    Euro hasn't had the best track record lately.
  6. SnoSki14
    Heat will peak Tue/Wed but 80s likely all four days until clouds ruin it by Friday. Return to seasonably cool by Saturday and beyond.
  7. SnoSki14
    We're already getting a taste of that this month. PNA ridge to build but gets knocked down quickly so could be a lot of back and forth this season.
  8. SnoSki14
    October could be stormy after the first week with first taste Fri/Sat. Also a non-zero chance we get some tropical influence from Philippe if the track shifts west. But +PNA/-NAO and AO trending negative are stormy indicators.
  9. SnoSki14
    What did the CanSips show last year at this time?
  10. SnoSki14
    Models will waffle back and forth but I think the +PNA that's common in Nino Octobers will win out.
  11. SnoSki14
    By next Saturday it cools down significantly. I highly doubt October is a torch month.
  12. SnoSki14
    This is where his obvious warm bias comes into play. God forbid any of those years are seen as potential analogs for him. And yes I know Joe B is biased in the other direction but a dead clock is right twice a day. I'm very interested to see how October stacks up. It could very well be a warmed up version of those Nino years kinda like how the summer was a warmed up version of 09.
  13. SnoSki14
    Models changed quite a bit after the 1st week of October. I don't buy the torch October shown anymore. Maybe a mix would work better
  14. SnoSki14
    Those PNA forecasts are wild and it's crazy to see models show a blowtorch October just a few days ago to a strong eastern trough after the 1st week.
  15. SnoSki14
    I am very happy to be missing out on these floods out here. Sounds like a terrible situation for many though
  16. SnoSki14
    Perfectly happy to get a glancing blow from this in New Brunswick. Don't need 5-10" amounts after all the rains we've had.
  17. SnoSki14
    So ensembles decided that fall is indeed coming now?
  18. SnoSki14
    Quite the reversal on the ensembles after the 8-9th now from a couple days ago. All of these competing influences seem to be screwing with the models.
  19. SnoSki14
    But does it have any legitimacy or is it the equivalent of its winter storm weenie runs.
  20. SnoSki14
    So if things played out moving forward it would basically ensure another warm, snowless winter.. can't say I'm surprised anymore.
  21. SnoSki14
    Not to sound alarmist but at this point voting for certain political parties really is a choice between life & death for many. That being said even the anti-climate deniers aren't doing nearly enough to address the ongoing climate change acceleration.
  22. SnoSki14
    Yeah it's insane. So much for that super Nino pattern. GFS looks like a raging Nina
  23. SnoSki14
    We're seeing Nina like conditions to start October...not exactly promising. But who knows maybe we'll luck out and get a Nina December followed by a Nino Jan/Feb. Many competing factors so an outcome like that wouldn't be surprising.
  24. SnoSki14
    It's an October Forky pattern. No fall weather in sight. Huge trough out west with big ridge in the east. We may not even be done with tropical threats if that's the case.
  25. SnoSki14
    Endless summer starts in October. Looks nothing like a strong Nino pattern
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