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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. We lucked out once otherwise my point stands. We go back to Great lakes tracks after this and for the rest of the month.
  2. Enjoy the snow because the rest of the month looks rather mild and wet. Friday's storm looks quite potent, strong rain/wind potential Maybe signs things turn around late December.
  3. 4-5" looks spot on right now. South Central Jersey will get the enhanced rates for a longer period. Some 6-8" amounts likely there.
  4. I wouldn't declare victory over 1 modest snow event. We've been mostly shut out for the past 7-8 years outside a couple snow events.
  5. 38/26 in Somerset. Perfectly fine for snow. Advisory bumped us up to 3-5"
  6. HRRR looking quite aggressive. Supports what HREF is putting out.
  7. It'll be interesting to see if that applies again but generally that has seemed to work out well. The higher end 4-5" totals will need to verify though
  8. Definitely a high end advisory event looking more likely but only local spots hit warning criteria.
  9. Strong gradient like pattern. Some models showing Arctic ridging. If the gradient can slip south every now and then for latter Dec and Jan then it could get interesting. I'd feel better being north though
  10. This mornings Nam got better compared to 0z. Think 3-5" looking better and better. Some areas may even approach 6" in South Central NJ.
  11. I like 2-4" from this. Advisory is right on the money. Agree about the ratios. Some localized spots will definitely see 4"+
  12. I would take multiple +15-20 winter temp months if we could get another Jan 2016
  13. Man central/south Jersey is getting all the good stuff in winter and during severe weather season
  14. MJO is very weak and should have negligible effects
  15. Last minute amplified trends that usually screw us could work in our favor
  16. Some holiday mood snows would be nice. Keeping expectations very low. Even an inch would be an accomplishment
  17. All ensembles have a very mild pattern coming up
  18. Shut the blinds on the Euro. Blowtorch second half of December
  19. Hopefully that trend continues because there is potential there.
  20. Nice to see more ridging build out west in time. Maybe we can get one of these shortwaves to dig and deliver.
  21. That doesn't mean there's no drought or low reservoirs
  22. Seeing several clipper type systems on guidance so although big snowstorms are off the table, light to moderate events seem possible even down to Mid-Atlantic
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