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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. Euro could be a blip run but how everyone was dead set on a suppressed outcome when these things almost always come north was strange to me.
  2. I'll take warm/dry during winter if it's not going to snow
  3. Good for them at least. Some haven't seen snow in years Honestly if the strong NAO lasts into Feb with SE ridge popping it could be a good gradient pattern for us
  4. That would be a disaster for those places. It hasn't snowed in years for many down there
  5. Plenty of time for things to bump north. That was always the rule in previous storms. Usually we wanted the snow zone further south days out due to these inevitable north trends.
  6. New England smoking cirrus while Southern states get smoked?
  7. It barely started lol. Why don't we actually wait til 1/15 instead of chasing day 7+ op runs.
  8. If models are underestimating the Atlantic blocking like they've been doing then that may not play out. Could end up shunting SE ridge further south setting up a potential gradient pattern.
  9. I wouldn't give up yet. GEFS/EPS been trending with less confluence and more amplification. Still several days to go
  10. Another reason to tread lightly on model runs this far out
  11. Yup good trends getting the confluence weaker
  12. Southern states are going to clean up while we get nothing?
  13. He's a realist when it comes to weather. People may not like it, especially during winter but it verifies most of the time.
  14. How anyone would live and die by day 7+ op runs is beyond me.
  15. We're cooking today. 65F right now, above forecast. Feels awesome
  16. Following day 7+ OP runs will give you an aneurysm. Just follow the ensembles and give it a rest until after the new year.
  17. This setup could trend favorably given pattern aloft. Lots of confluence nearby with strong blocking present
  18. The 6th and 10-11th are the two main opportunities. The 6th looks very SWFE-ish. 0z GFS was an outlier, 06 GFS brought it back. With such a strong blocking pattern, it could trend towards a miller B and further south.
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