What makes you so confident things just don't keep getting pushed back like last year.
The -PDO is not encouraging
Bluewave would definitely call you out on it.
Well we're starting off December hear near 60 for Saturday and several days of 50s so I'd say the warmth wins out bigly.
Not Dec 2015 type warmth mind you but plenty warm.
That relentless Pacific jet is a killer. Every time we see western ridging try to set up it gets knocked down immediately.
It's hard to get excited when that keeps happening but there's always a chance we can time things right occasionally.
I do think they'll be more opportunities than last winter but talk about a low bar
For the last decade November has been the only month that has averaged near to below normal.
Every other month has torched especially the winter months. So what agenda is that?
Not optimistic at all. Looks like the same garbage we've seen for years now.
Pacific jet on steroids. Expect 4 months of March essentially so 40s & 50s for highs and lows near freezing with lots of clouds & rain.
Unless the Pacific changes it's going to be the same shitty Nina like winter pattern. No amount of Atlantic blocking is going to make a difference.
Bluewave is right on the money as always.
Euro/GFS op shows how Atlantic blocking doesn't mean squat when the Pacific is trash.
I expect little to no snows in December. Pattern looks like garbage
The -PDO is a death sentence here
Not surprising. Most of the country has been mild and very dry to boot.
Only the northeast has had a cooler anomaly this month but we've just had our rainiest event in weeks. Was very dry before that.
That's the biggest factor. Winters in the east have sucked because of a powerful Pacific jet and western trough
Doesn't matter if the AO/NAO are negative if not severely negative if the Pacific is garbage. You just get colder rainstorms.