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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. SnoSki14
    It could be 60F and rain like most years. This is the best we could get
  2. SnoSki14
    They'll be snowstorm opportunities but we'll also risk storms cutting with that fast pacific jet lowering heights out west. Maybe we can get that Hudson bay block to help
  3. SnoSki14
    I could see a wintry mix play out but it seems unlikely to me since there's not much cold in place.
  4. SnoSki14
    This is true. A colder correction wouldn't surprise me though neither would a delay. Still appears that the Jan 5-15 period will be the best one for us. Anything before that seems unlikely to yield much, if anything. I also don't see a blowtorch Feb. I like the CFS idea.
  5. SnoSki14
    EPS not as bad but not great either. Could be a delayed, not denied situation. I still expect at least a period of favorable conditions in January, probably in the Jan 5-15 window. CFS has the right idea imo
  6. SnoSki14
    GFS/GEFS trending in the wrong direction for January. Better hope they're wrong. GFS Op is downright ugly
  7. SnoSki14
    Looks a little squalish on the 24th. Mesos picking up on it. Maybe we'll get our miracle Dec 3" after all
  8. SnoSki14
    There were clear Nino influences this month especially the last third of December. It's not a canonical Nina due to multiple areas of forcing playing a role. There's no guarantee we go typical Nina after mid January.
  9. SnoSki14
    EPS looks better than GEFS. I don't like the lower heights out west on the GFS. The Hudson Bay block could be the biggest positive in all of this.
  10. SnoSki14
    There's stats to back it up but our patterns have gotten a lot more convulated lately.
  11. SnoSki14
    It's kinda funny how the difference between a 40"+ winter and a 10" winter is another inch of snow in December.
  12. SnoSki14
    Chances are this snow will stick around through Christmas so many areas will indeed see a white Christmas
  13. SnoSki14
    If it's not gonna snow then I'll take that everyday this winter
  14. SnoSki14
    There's an inverted trough signal for Friday.
  15. SnoSki14
    Eh I don't think it makes much difference in this pattern. And SNE is closer to what NYC used to be. It's really C/NNE that's completely different
  16. SnoSki14
    Flow is way too fast. We just saw this with last week's system. And anyone comparing the setup to 2010 is insane. That had a massive -NAO block
  17. SnoSki14
    Lol sure Jan
  18. SnoSki14
    At least it'll feel like Christmas
  19. SnoSki14
    Wow what a global blowtorch on the ensembles. No cold to be found anywhere. At least everyone's f*cked this winter
  20. SnoSki14
    More of the same garbage we've seen past decade. I don't mind it honestly. Hopefully we're warm/dry
  21. SnoSki14
    EPS has not been reliable though. Probably a lot of back and forth.
  22. SnoSki14
    People forget how cold Decembers used to get. Even in the 2000s there were several days with highs stuck in the teens
  23. SnoSki14
    Really nice MJO signal today. Strong and amplified as it heads towards 7 end of December and January.
  24. SnoSki14
    Do like how guidance is showing a much more amplified MJO wave heading towards 7 end of December.
  25. SnoSki14
    The problem with the LR is the Pacific jet keeps knocking down any ridging that tries to form out west. Its also leading to wild run to run changes. We would have to get lucky with timing here.
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