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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. Ominous look for sure. Looks like more 100-500 year flood records are going to be broken. Doesn't help that we're already so wet. A dry period now would help.
  2. All this rain with an extremely active hurricane season on the horizon...buckle up
  3. Probably doesn't help that ssts are relatively cool to our east.
  4. Getting slammed right now with windswept heavy rains
  5. Strong easterly jet ahead of secondary. Powerful winds near inversion. What's not to get
  6. So funny this was the tool climate change deniers kept using as evidence of no warming and now it blew through those metrics So now they're pivoting to other explanations like JB with his underwater volcanoes
  7. C'mon that was barely trying
  8. The SE ridging will basically help trap this cutoff for days. We'll probably get 2-3" easy out of this.
  9. Models have a strong secondary inland now that's trying to mix a strong LLJ down. But inversion would make it tough to get strong winds
  10. Not backing down. Do you think it has a clue? For God's sake that thing even gives my region in Jersey 6-10" of tree crushing snows.
  11. Agreed but it's hard to deny what's going on.
  12. Looks like another 2" of rain on tap. Luckily it's spread out but it won't help. Drier pattern hopefully coming after this wet stretch.
  13. Gfs trended in that direction with a more strung out system initially. I don't think you can discount it completely
  14. There's a lot of time left and things will continue to evolve. I predict a historic outcome. This is a highly unusual scenario for early April
  15. The storm comes out in multiple phases and it's the last phase of it where we see the bowling ball like capture that leads to the CMC solution. GFS is further north with it so no good. Very slim chance of CMC verifying imo. That would be a historic outcome.
  16. Hello Ida Doesn't help how saturated we've been Dangerous combo, probably a very wet, hot summer, a lot of severe weather + extremely active hurricane season As a severe weather enthusiast I can't help but get excited while also recognize the potential dangers
  17. Nam/Rgem not being amped at their ranges could mean more south shifts. Wouldn't count coastal SNE out at all
  18. I'd rather wait a couple more days but yes that's the signal right now. Probably a scary harbinger of a brutally hot summer if we do see 80s in April. Seasonal forecasts and a Nino to Nina transition point to a brutal scorcher.
  19. Unless we see an omega block form
  20. It's hard to get a 30 high in winter let alone April nowadays.
  21. Would be interesting to have this trend south and impact us but we know that'll never happen. Instead it's going to be a dreary, cool and miserable few days
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