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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. SnoSki14
    More Dewey than torchy. Over the top ridge could bring onshore flow GFS even has a low develop next week further south
  2. SnoSki14
    A bust in Somerset, everything was north
  3. SnoSki14
    Another instance where typical climo of the past doesn't apply in a rapidly changing climate. Now I'm starting to doubt a hyperactive hurricane season. Ensembles are rather quiet rest of August
  4. SnoSki14
    Hints that cutoff sticks around longer than progged. Not as convinced in the big heat
  5. SnoSki14
    More rain will develop further west today. Heating and cloud breaks will help
  6. SnoSki14
    Nice September like cool down this week but the 90s will be back last week of August. Summer definitely isn't over
  7. SnoSki14
    Dropped into the upper 50s this morning. Fantastic past few days of summer. The worst is definitely behind us and 90s look uncommon especially in the city
  8. SnoSki14
    Lol yeah sure we will. I can't wait for those fall 80s deep into October
  9. SnoSki14
    I think many will be surprised how active it'll be in 2-3 weeks. SSTs are still near record highs and shear is quite low throughout Atlantic. MJO pulse + dust settling down will do the trick.
  10. SnoSki14
    Huge Atlantic weakness guarantees no impacts
  11. SnoSki14
    The only chance this has is if it takes forever to develop otherwise it's quickly OTS
  12. SnoSki14
    Dews around 65 so still a muggy feel though huge difference from upper 70s tropical air. Tomorrow should be a delight with much lower dews.
  13. SnoSki14
    Why do people want a hurricane impact? Do you hate your house
  14. SnoSki14
    Dews are still a bit high but things are gradually getting more comfortable
  15. SnoSki14
    It was too far west and barely a depression
  16. SnoSki14
    The bite isn't as strong after mid August even when it does get hot. Can't beat a weakening sun angle
  17. SnoSki14
    Although I'm confident the next tropical system will be booted OTS due to extensive western Atlantic troughing, you can't deny the trends of stronger Atlantic ridging that allowed Debby to stay well west of us. If the system takes longer to develop and Atlantic ridging trends stronger then the threat will increase markedly.
  18. SnoSki14
    It's in the 60s right now, we had dews struggling to get that low.
  19. SnoSki14
    Comfortable dews as well for the first time in a long time
  20. SnoSki14
    Pretty underwhelming but we've had plenty of rain past few days, completely eliminating any dry worries.
  21. SnoSki14
    I'm good with missing flooding rains.
  22. SnoSki14
    There's a chance Debby could be stronger in its Carolinas landfall
  23. SnoSki14
    GFS starting to align with other models, no longer stalls down south
  24. SnoSki14
    It's not dry air, it's the broad circulation. No models had it being much more than a Cat 1. Not every hurricane is going to blow past intensity forecasts.
  25. SnoSki14
    And this is the driest model
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