
SnoSki14
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Everything posted by SnoSki14
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South trend is more likely. AO is tanking
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Lol yeah no. For climate change deniers the whole world could literally be on fire and they'll look the other way. There's no new low they won't sink too. A lot of these rich folks already have bunkers ready.
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I mean I'm not getting my hopes up. Not really feeling the coming pattern either. Pacific still looks crappy to me. Really lacking a classic Rockies/Western ridge to deliver the goods here. Its been years since we've seen that. March probably has better odds to deliver as a poor Pacific is less of a detriment by then.
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Funny enough a more southern track is probably more likely.
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The AO will have been quite negative for a while by then though. And it's almost impossible for every variable to work in our favor.
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You really need a strong, dynamic system for the 13th as airmass is not very good but there is some potential. Northern stream needs to get more involved
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The 13th system has legitimacy but it's marginal and could be suppressed. Too early to tell. Almost looks like an early spring type bowling ball that blows up quickly. Fast mover that may drop a foot on someone.
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This aligns really well with raindancewx stormy March forecast. Really don't want to wait that long though. March 2018 was great but climo still worked against us near the coast. Even a 1-2 weeks of snow potential earlier than March 2018 is better for us so hopefully late Feb into 1st week of March we score.
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It was a Flop... February 2024 Disco. Thread
SnoSki14 replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
This is a 9 day prog on an op run. I wouldn't worry about it too much. -
It was a Flop... February 2024 Disco. Thread
SnoSki14 replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
Care to post the 0z now? -
Last time I remember him honking this hard, March 2018 happened. But having it happen 2-3 weeks earlier makes a big difference climo wise for us.
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Wouldn't be surprised to see the biggest snow event this season in March if the mid Feb pattern rolls forward. A trough in the SW has less of an effect on us in late winter due to changing wavelengths. I also hope that doesn't happen, I don't care about March snows unless it's a KU system so Feb 15-29 is it for me. Put up or shut up.
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At this point it's nothing but a snooze fest and I don't care what happens anymore.
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Snowman really hates that it could snow. Everything I've ever seen from him has been anti-winter. Now he thinks they'll be suppression. So far this Nino has produced one of the wettest Dec-Jan periods for us and he thinks they'll be suppression. Delusional thinking
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It was a Flop... February 2024 Disco. Thread
SnoSki14 replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
I think this summer is going to be brutal for a lot of people and I predict one of the most damaging hurricane seasons ever. The MDR is cooking right now and we might shift to Cool ENSO by the summer. A deadly combination -
Last chance. Any pushback and it's a wrap.
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Sorry it's not as warm as when the Earth first formed.
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Would be a real shock for everyone that thinks winter is done However 82-83 is a top analog and that had one big storm, PDI
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I feel like I haven't seen the sun in forever
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It was a Flop... February 2024 Disco. Thread
SnoSki14 replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
I mean the rate of warming is undeniable. It's also becoming normalized. People thought December wasn't that warm because it wasn't like 2015. Ok but it was still #2-3 all time. Sorry it didn't have +15 departures -
It's scary how normalized this has become. I feel like summer is a ticking time bomb for us.
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If that's even the case
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Feb 4-5 looks more interesting than I thought. It's worth keeping an eye on. There's definitely likely to be a southern stream storm but the evolution up here is what will be tricky to figure out. Of course it also wouldn't shock me if the Carolinas or even further south ended up getting more snow than us so far with that system.
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It was a Flop... February 2024 Disco. Thread
SnoSki14 replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
Really unorthodox setup next week. Not sure how that's gonna play out. Funky setup nonetheless