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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. If these warm/dry winter forecasts are correct then we're looking at a massive drought and fire spring season, worse than 01/02
  2. That's far more likely than any shot at snow or even BN temps
  3. Warm/dry looks locked in. Rain chances dropping fast too Only thing that changes is we go back to more over the top ridging vs WAR ridge, cooler highs (still AN) & warmer mins due to onshore flow.
  4. Odd distribution across the season but yes it's verifying In fact another storm or two is probable after Rafael and a hyperactive ACE is still in play.
  5. Nothing but brown landscapes in Jersey. Looks like the SW
  6. It already happened in Feb so year round shot at 80s is in the cards. Much better odds this season with the drought
  7. What will be the breaking point that actually forces global changes is the question. Because so far it's been pretty much business as usual
  8. +20 Huge fire season. Maybe all the smoke will hold temps down
  9. That has to flip. Maybe it will eventually, nothing stays permanent. Hell we thought the Pacific heat ridge near Alaska/West Coast would stick in the 2010s.
  10. We've seen several 100+ acre fires pop up lately.
  11. Yeah I think the sunlight is much more relevant which is why even with record temps in Dec-Feb some years we don't see a lot of budding. But once March rolls around everything springs into action
  12. That's what it's looking like according to seasonal models. Things are going to be very bad soon.
  13. Just your typical northeast Halloween. Drought, fires and 80s
  14. It's a lot worse down here in Jersey. Literally no rain all month. Lots of small brush fires. A big fire is coming...maybe tomorrow?
  15. What was our worst drought intensity designation?
  16. That's the problem. There's no middle ground anymore. If it wasn't for the worsening drought then sure but we are getting perilously close to some massive fire event.
  17. Our area is recording its driest month on record, not just October. Going from one extreme to the next. I think when the next flip happens it's going to be extremely active.
  18. In a few years we'll be putting up 85+ for Halloween
  19. Should get there easily with the drought
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