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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. I think 90s are possible on Wednesday, then a huge drop Thursday/Friday (60s) as Dorian heads OTS.
  2. Next Tue/Wed will be the last shot I think. After that things turn cool for a while. Even if the 2nd half of September is warm to very warm you would still need a highly anomalous, record breaking pattern to get 90+ by then.
  3. The Sept 3-8 period looks toasty.
  4. The focus should be on biodiversity, which is getting threatened yearly though not just due to fires.
  5. 12z Euro OP bringing the warmth though.
  6. Sneaky chance at 90 this Fri/Sat for the hottest spots but unlikely otherwise. 1st of September doesn't look very warm either and 90s are hard to come by after 9/10. Strongly negative -EPO should keep cooler air masses nearby.
  7. Strong -EPO to start September should get some big highs to drop south.
  8. Really not that hard to figure out when the sun sets...and it's the same time every year in late August.
  9. The European heat does always come back to us though not as intense as they've seen.
  10. It'll finally be bearable to spend the weekend outside. First sign that autumn draws closer.
  11. I knew that bow was powerful when its outflow produced pretty Gusty winds despite being well to my north back in NJ. Tornado perhaps?
  12. A coastal runner wouldn't surprise me, it depends on how much troughiness we see out west. Waters are also quite warm too.
  13. Stats show that years without double digits 90s in August generally get between 0-3 90 days in September, most in the 1st half. If anything it seems like July was downplayed and August was overestimated.
  14. I think a few close TS will take a big bite out of those SSTs. 1st week of September could be near or slightly BN and 90s are tough to hit after September 10.
  15. Wave? More like Bob redux. I see early signs of a big trough in the Midwest and NE Canada ridging.
  16. 2012 was essentially an anomalous year due to the great Arctic cyclone. This year maintained the status quo but it'll be more interesting to see what happens next year. The last few years had horrible ice recoveries vs the early 2010s and this year should be no different. A very poor recovery could lead to a new record next year.
  17. A Bob like scenario wouldn't be surprising as tropical development shifts further north over time.
  18. Well last year was supposed to be a huge winter so I'll take any LR forecast with a grain of salt.
  19. Should be stunning for next weekend. -NAO keeps reloading too so another cooler blast near labor day weekend is possible.
  20. I think a 3-5 day heatwave looks likely starting Sunday. HI will likely approach near advisory levels. We certainly won't come close to July's heat but as with most years as of late we'll probably see 90s into September too.
  21. They're coming, 2nd half of August looks very hot.
  22. I do think all that warm water around Greenland will allow for more blocking than we've seen. Looks like a +PDO as well. Pacific firehouse could still be a problem though strong blocking periods could offset that somewhat.
  23. Today was a pretty big bust actually pending what happens later. Thought we'd be too far north but not this much.
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