SnoSki14

The next 2 days will arguably be the coolest until mid October. Ensembles show ridiculous heat for late September/early October with upper 80s to localized 90s possible.

There's not even a trough in the east either, meaning double the boring.

Latest Euro OP is just wow, EPS too. We could be talking 90s late September/early October. The dry stretch will only enhance the heat.

Thank you Don for always providing a ton of data analysis for our weather. I just wish it wasn't so bleak. Unfortunately all signs point to another very warm fall and possibly winter. I think our luck has run out. From this moment on its nothing but extreme heat and well AN temps with BN snows.

Wow there's a huge torch incoming and you can't even get a hurricane to sniff the US.

My forecast shows at five 80s days in the next 10.

Wrong again or should we remove the past couple days from the data set too.

The big ridges progged have really been muted significantly but we could still see a day or two of heat really pop like on Wednesday.

If the weakness that takes it east of FL is weaker or the ridge is a bit stronger than it would've been a hit. At the very least it'll make things somewhat interesting.

I'm not sure why so many think we could be affected by a tropical system next week, a million things would have to align for the Euro solution to happen. I see the synoptics, storm moves through Bahamas just east of Florida and then turns N/NE into a weakness. Ridge reforms to its N/NE and storm turns back to the NW and hits someone on the coast. Question is how strong will the system be, how strong will be weakness/ridge be, and where will the storm initially go. Will it be near the Gulf like GFS or east of Florida.

I was starting to wonder when we'd get a fantasy run that shoots a cane up here.

Looks like an Omega high type of pattern or at least that's what models are leaning towards.

Yeah 90 will probably be the best we can do. Overall I'm seeing mostly 80s for the next 10 days or so, which is solidly AN. Wonder if the blocking will return.

Not in your lifetime. Best bet is another Irene, maybe a 1944 or 38 at worst within the next 50 years. A Gloria is most likely sometime within the next 5-10 years.

Lol wasn't that silly. In reality it'll probably be another +2 to +3 type of month mostly due to very high mins. 90s could still be hard to hit outside warmest spots due to the dirty ridging and tropical influences.

You're getting torched, high dew, high temp stuff for a very long time. Welcome back summer.

I think September 2019 will be the hottest September on record. The ridging looks incredible and doesn't fade. GFS has days and days of 90s and lows not dropping below low 70s for numerous days after 9/10. Wow

Looks like a large ridge will develop over us and stay there so more 90s will be possible. Also allows any tropical system to make it to the US.

This one band is delivering moderate to heavy rains.

Southern spots possibly though models have been trending weaker with any heat potential. Only see low 80s in my forecast.

And today was the last of the 90s until next year.

More like 1 in 750. In fact we're far more likely to see a LI express than a Sandy.

90s after 9/10 would indicate records being broken. There is evidence of a substantial ridge building in around that time though however 90s will be a tough sell, definitely not happening for the city.

Wrong again

The troughs have been quite strong since late August and there's a nice PNA building. I know 9/10 times nothing ever happens but it's not like there's anything else going on.