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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. It's very mild despite what people think. In years past we'd frequently see 30s to low 40s by now even near the city and we can't even drop below 50. And we're lucky to be just north enough to avoid the torrid heat the Mid-Atlantic has experienced for months. The cold is out west and the east is mild, it's been that way for a few years now and I don't see that changing with a raging Pacific jet pattern.
  2. Looking forward to the toasty weather past mid October, we should see widespread 70s and even 80s for some. I do think November turns much colder though, the last several years have had colder Novembers along with March.
  3. EPS looked quite strong and N though, wouldn't be surprised to see models shift further NW today. Regardless it looks like a cool, dreary and breezy period especially Wed-Fri. Should see, at minimum, some moderate coastal impacts due to prolonged onshore flow.
  4. Given the strength of the block, the storm should get nudged closer to the coast over time. Euro will be interesting.
  5. Laughable how different this run is vs yesterday. Must be all those nutty teleconnection shifts.
  6. Didn't take long to get back into the 80s, 82 right now.
  7. If it's AN then it's probably correct. Maybe we aren't done with 90s after all. How incredible would that be to see past mid October.
  8. Last year raindance was the only one who nailed the winter pattern and he sees evidence of another 94/95 or last year's pattern.
  9. Those nonstop lows crashing heights out west is not a good sign going forward. Seems like a continuation of the past few years with a raging Pacific jet, hopefully we see some NAO blocking to counteract it a bit.
  10. I think we'll get plenty of sunshine as the storm looks to be well offshore. Not much wind either and highs will be near normal with lows well above. Block will keep this too far away from us. No deluge this time.
  11. It certainly looks to be heading that way. A deluge would be fitting after a bone dry month.
  12. Despite today's cool down I still see a mild pattern with plenty of ridging nearby and heights crashing out west. We should be back into the mid to upper 70s by Sun or Monday. Lows will be well AN with highs hovering AN too. This was a mere pattern shift, not a big change. We'll probably have to wait till mid November or later for a big change. I suspect we'll see plenty more 75+ readings before the month ends.
  13. It's a smorgasbord of mixed signals for the upcoming winter...it could honestly go either way. What a nightmare to forecast as last year proved.
  14. It'll finally feel more like fall next few days and then they'll be more ups and downs. However nothing will come close to the heat we've experienced. Hints at more -NAO blocking mid month could signal much stormier weather. Currently 56F down from 94F yesterday.
  15. Temps by this time tomorrow should be in the 50s with light rain or showers. Very mid April to early June BDCF type of change.
  16. And there are still people that deny climate change. Unreal.
  17. Already widespread upper 70s as of 9:20am, dews in the upper 60s too...very July like. Very warm readings on the short term models makes me think we exceed highs by a few degrees today pending any cloud debris. I think 93-95F will be common. We'll also get a boost from the recent dry conditions.
  18. Euro showed something similar and October starts noreaster season so it's definitely possible. Looks like a neggie NAO influence as well.
  19. The longer you roast the more dangerous these bug/mosquito migrations will get. There are consequences to this kind of atypical weather. It's not supposed to be south Florida at 42N in October.
  20. Nice dramatic BDCF shown on the models. NAM is really strong with it going from upper 80s/low 90s on Wed to low-mid 50s by Thursday afternoon.
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