
SnoSki14
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Everything posted by SnoSki14
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Nice September like cool down this week but the 90s will be back last week of August. Summer definitely isn't over
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Dropped into the upper 50s this morning. Fantastic past few days of summer. The worst is definitely behind us and 90s look uncommon especially in the city
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Lol yeah sure we will. I can't wait for those fall 80s deep into October
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I think many will be surprised how active it'll be in 2-3 weeks. SSTs are still near record highs and shear is quite low throughout Atlantic. MJO pulse + dust settling down will do the trick.
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Huge Atlantic weakness guarantees no impacts
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The only chance this has is if it takes forever to develop otherwise it's quickly OTS
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Dews around 65 so still a muggy feel though huge difference from upper 70s tropical air. Tomorrow should be a delight with much lower dews.
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Why do people want a hurricane impact? Do you hate your house
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Dews are still a bit high but things are gradually getting more comfortable
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It was too far west and barely a depression
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The bite isn't as strong after mid August even when it does get hot. Can't beat a weakening sun angle
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Although I'm confident the next tropical system will be booted OTS due to extensive western Atlantic troughing, you can't deny the trends of stronger Atlantic ridging that allowed Debby to stay well west of us. If the system takes longer to develop and Atlantic ridging trends stronger then the threat will increase markedly.
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It's in the 60s right now, we had dews struggling to get that low.
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Comfortable dews as well for the first time in a long time
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Pretty underwhelming but we've had plenty of rain past few days, completely eliminating any dry worries.
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I'm good with missing flooding rains.
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There's a chance Debby could be stronger in its Carolinas landfall
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GFS starting to align with other models, no longer stalls down south
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It's not dry air, it's the broad circulation. No models had it being much more than a Cat 1. Not every hurricane is going to blow past intensity forecasts.
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And this is the driest model
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Last 3 days delivered rains here. GFS seems out to lunch with Debby, most models bring it up the coast
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Subtle trends east with CMC/GFS
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That doesn't mean we won't get heavy rains here. CMC/GFS still shows heavy amounts east Then you have Icon to the east
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Good lord at the flooding potential over GA/SC. 30"+ amounts possible
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Yesterday a lot of places picked up nearly an inch or more. Now we're getting tropical influences too. Ensembles are extremely wet for 1st half of August. It's going to rain a lot.
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