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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. SnoSki14
    If the current pattern continues into Aug-Oct then yeah it'll definitely be concerning. However often the bark is usually worse than the bite when it comes to LR forecasts. 2013 could still be in the cards too.
  2. SnoSki14
    I don't think we'll see the elusive 100F. Models have consistently backed off the extreme heat for our area and all the recent rains make it less likely as well.
  3. SnoSki14
    Fay was basically a moderate summer coastal storm in terms of impacts. Nothing too memorable though we did get a period of very heavy rains and wind. Hopefully a precursor to something bigger in August/September.
  4. SnoSki14
    Most of the stronger winds will stay aloft. Scattered 40-50mph gusts still possible in stronger bands.
  5. SnoSki14
    If it meets the definition of a storm then it gets a name it's that simple. Agree about the winter storm naming nonsense though.
  6. SnoSki14
    Gotta watch out for some quick spin ups later today.
  7. SnoSki14
    If the center can align better with the mlc then she could get to 60-65mph. Doesn't look bad on IR. I'm predicting stronger impacts than currently forecast. Some 6"+ amounts likely.
  8. SnoSki14
    Sounds like it'd be a good hit. Heaviest stuff will be north east of center.
  9. SnoSki14
    Storms like Fay will likely become more common in the future. Who knows soon we might get a home grown cane developing off the Delmarva.
  10. SnoSki14
    GFS is a bit further west but most models lean more east right now. NYC metro could be near jackpot zone with rains.
  11. SnoSki14
    Fay at 5PM
  12. SnoSki14
    The CMC? That gives us a lot of rain.
  13. SnoSki14
    Bring it, enough boring weather it's time for some extremes.
  14. SnoSki14
    Precip looks to pivot N&W west even if it stays east. We'd likely get some tropical enhancement due to its close proximity. Also if it stays broad and/or subtropical which is more likely then the location of the CoC won't matter much in terms of impact.
  15. SnoSki14
    Thinking Friday is much more active than expected. TS Fay is looking more and more likely.
  16. SnoSki14
    I'm not sure I've ever seen that on radar, at least not in our area.
  17. SnoSki14
    Next week looks really hot. If we avoid onshore flow and clouds we could see mid to upper 90s for several days. The recent dry weather would even argue for higher temps.
  18. SnoSki14
    I don't see anything beyond what we've been seeing so far. Probably just upper 80s to low 90s. Nothing crazy for July. 2010-2011 ain't walking through that door. The strongest heat will likely be to our north this season.
  19. SnoSki14
    If it meets the criteria then it should get a name. Dolly definitely met the criteria for a TS.
  20. SnoSki14
    Should make for an interesting winter forecast.
  21. SnoSki14
    Euro night and day vs yesterday. July 4th weekend remains a question mark.
  22. SnoSki14
    Overnight Euro is already pulling back on any extreme heat. Looks like another omega block showing up. Cutoff with onshore flow to start July, could exit by July 4th though these systems tend to stick around longer. GFS OP would be very cool to start July.
  23. SnoSki14
    I don't see anything beyond low 90s, there's also hints of more onshore flow. I don't buy the big heat the Euro is selling.
  24. SnoSki14
    Euro/EPS definitely showing more of a cutoff situation again. Looks like typical early summer weather with us probably averaging slightly AN due to warm mins. Have to watch for more onshore flow though which will keep temps down.
  25. SnoSki14
    Not too concerned about drought where I am. Doesn't take much to get a good quick soaking in the summer and we're actually near normal for June with stormier conditions on the way.
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