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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. SnoSki14
    Are you surprised he's saying this. It's -PDO, Nina, +NAO/AO, +EPO/WPO, MJO 4-6, etc. Every negative signal you can think of that will cause a snowless, blowtorch winter for the east with this guy. Wash - rinse - repeat. There's zero nuance.
  2. SnoSki14
    Yeah I'll buy whatever he's selling, dude's been killing it for years now.
  3. SnoSki14
    I totally buy the tropical development off the east coast. Strong high to the north allows for a system to spin underneath. High moves east and storm impacts coast. Where and what kind of impacts remain to be seen. New GFS is following the Euro though
  4. SnoSki14
    Lower sun angle too. Looks ideal for late summer beach season.
  5. SnoSki14
    Probably November honestly. Our endless summer begins.
  6. SnoSki14
    I hope so, that would open us up to some tropical activity
  7. SnoSki14
    Maybe some homebrew tropical activity next week?
  8. SnoSki14
    The greatest heights look north along with warmest departures. I could see a lower high, high min pattern for 2nd half of September
  9. SnoSki14
    You're more likely to see a tornado warning at this rate
  10. SnoSki14
    Very unusual to see such low tropical activity given all the preceding factors...not Nina like at all Good call by raindance doubting all the hyperactive forecasts
  11. SnoSki14
    His schtick regarding winter forecasts is not that much different than JB though, just the opposite (always warm, snowless winter). And yeah more often than not he'll be right due to pattern persistence and background warming from CC. But there's no nuance, just copy and paste.
  12. SnoSki14
    Wow great storm, wind driven rain and crazy thunder & lightning. Best storm of the year
  13. SnoSki14
    Doesn't seem very Nina like in LR. Tropics still mostly dead, lots of strong troughs digging east.
  14. SnoSki14
    Climate has changed dramatically since 2001. We've become way too over reliant on analogs when we're a moving target climate wise. What was looking like a hyperactive hurricane season is starting to flop. We had a raging +NAO that delivered unusually cool weather in NW Europe. Blocking patterns in winter no longer produce the same outcomes either.
  15. SnoSki14
    I really think we need to reconsider climo and analogs throughout the year, not just winter. We're getting more and more unusual weather combinations than the past. That's why I'm not sold on a blowtorch, snowless winter just because of ENSO.
  16. SnoSki14
    Winter is on permanent disability
  17. SnoSki14
    That's a nice severe weather setup for someone Wednesday evening.
  18. SnoSki14
    Euro has been moving in that direction
  19. SnoSki14
    Tomorrow morning is classic hoodie weather
  20. SnoSki14
    Low of 59. Very pleasant dews finally. Forecast low of 51 tonight, maybe we'll make a run at 40s.
  21. SnoSki14
    More Dewey than torchy. Over the top ridge could bring onshore flow GFS even has a low develop next week further south
  22. SnoSki14
    A bust in Somerset, everything was north
  23. SnoSki14
    Another instance where typical climo of the past doesn't apply in a rapidly changing climate. Now I'm starting to doubt a hyperactive hurricane season. Ensembles are rather quiet rest of August
  24. SnoSki14
    Hints that cutoff sticks around longer than progged. Not as convinced in the big heat
  25. SnoSki14
    More rain will develop further west today. Heating and cloud breaks will help
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