SnoSki14
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Everything posted by SnoSki14
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By May even cooler weather still feels okay. The exception is a coastal or any prolonged onshore flow. That being said a high in the 50s is definitely well below normal for May which is pushing 70+ for climo.
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Wet and windy tomorrow. A wind advisory wouldn't surprise me.
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May is always a marginal month for severe and the pattern starting next week will put a lid on severe threats. Don't think things will change much until late May or June.
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50s and potentially 30s for lows is very cool for May and is relatively chilly. Still it could be a lot worse and it may very well be. I'm seeing hints of a -NAO/AO along with a -EPO which could be a prelude to rare mid May coastal storms.
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There's been a trend to slow it down. Sunday will easily be the better day. Just checking Boston 10 day and yeesh it's like in the low-mid 50s everyday. That's like March down here, how do you guys survive such prolonged dreariness.
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Agreed though I'm not sure it'll surpass 77F. I don't see anything that says prolonged warm pattern. If anything things get more anomalous by May 10 & beyond as we see more -EPO influence and +PNA. Some rare 30s for lows wouldn't be shocking this May.
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Definitely thought this would've occurred in March like past years but March-May have been flip-flopping where at least one of those months torch. This year it was March as April is a lock to be BN and May looks to be heading that way too.
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May 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
SnoSki14 replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
There's a transient ridge that allows warmer air to come in but general blockiness out west means any ridging will be temporary. In fact the ridging in the west will only intensify which means the trough in the east will get deeper after May 4th. Also seeing ridging in EPO/AO/NAO regions as well which will only reinforce the cooler/stormy pattern. -
And they live in the NYC metro...not exactly a snow haven.
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There's a lot of heat in the south though. Gulf is on fire. I think once this cool pattern breaks we may be in for some sizzling temperatures. I do think it'll be active though and the tropics will be extra active this year.
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EPS gets very chilly again relative to norms May 5 & beyond after nice stretch May 2-4 & tomorrow for some.
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Could be even cooler with widespread clouds/rain. When the pattern does break either later in May or June we'll jump right into mid-summer most likely.
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EPS looks pretty darn cool after May 4/5 and seasonal before that. Could see 70F again.
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Tomorrow & Monday look like dogsh** Tuesday will be like today but then more cool/wet weather is likely until next weekend.
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It has felt like March since December. Ironically March this year felt more like mid-late Spring.
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GFS/Euro actually look a lot more promising with regards to warm spring weather. Wonder if it's real or another head fake. EPS is still generally cool though it has a couple warmer days poking through over next 10 days.
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If the winds weren't there temps would be plunging right now probably toward record lows. Lucky break for plants as dews are in the teens.
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Yeah it's quite gusty out there. Would've been an cold arctic night coming if it was January. We'll see wind chills in the 20s tonight, pretty cold this time of year.
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Its in the 40s behind this line. I'm pretty sure this is it.
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Parts of southern NJ look to do well. I think I'm too far north for this.
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Freezing levels are very low. Small hail or graupel is possible with heavier showers along with some gusty non-severe winds.
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They will not be enough. It's very unlikely we'll even see isolated cases of severe weather.
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This would've been one heck of a setup in early summer.
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It'll probably just be some heavy showers. Activity out west doesn't look like much
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Agree though HRRR has been very consistent with a strong squall line passing through.
