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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. I hate these kinds of ratters. Give me 11/12 anyday over this cold/dry crap
  2. Near zero temps with -20 Wind chills, low to mid teens for highs. Yeah this is springlike in comparison
  3. It feels colder because of how warm its been but it would be AN when compared to 20+ years ago
  4. With the SE ridge building and very cold air north there will definitely be something last third of month...just don't know what
  5. This sentiment needs to be put to rest. No this is a 2020s pattern. The 80s were substantially colder and snowier than the 2020s. This is the CC era pattern
  6. We're going to see a historic drop in average snowfall for this decade across the entire Northeast. This pattern is stuck and ain't changing. A 20" average collapse is crazy.
  7. Gradient type patterns can be good if we're on the right side of it
  8. I could easily see Feb being AN temp wise, perhaps by a good margin with significantly more snow than Jan.
  9. I'll laugh if all this colds yields us less than 3" for the month.
  10. Could nab a minor event here and probably another solid event further south.
  11. 80s were a lot colder with more frequent snow events This a completely different era
  12. Beyond useless and the wind just makes things extra painful. We've had way better snow patterns in torch winters
  13. Replacing this dry, cold/windy pattern with a warm one sounds great
  14. If it was a really good pattern then things would've materialized. This pattern stinks. Way too much suppression that favors DC. Too much confluent flow
  15. It's kinda cut and dry if you think about it. Will northern stream drop south in time and phase with southern disturbance or not. If it phases then boom
  16. Big runs tonight. If we're getting a storm we should start to see some consensus soon. The phasing is only 3 days away
  17. Maybe the amped GFS run will mean other models will come aboard tonight. Better than an OTS whiff
  18. Would be nice if the 11-12th threat could materialize otherwise we're going into late Jan with little to show for it despite BN temperatures
  19. Ensembles are showing some some ridging in the east by Jan 18-20 however it could be transient and they could be jumping the gun somewhat.
  20. From suppression to cutters. Lovely. Gotta watch the Hudson bay blocking as that has tended to trend stronger too and could hold back SE ridge
  21. Going back 5 days from current system and GFS was remarkably accurate. Every storm is different however but I do think once models get a grasp on the system that it won't change much
  22. We're seeing it with the current storm though. Yeah some models were a bit further north but they were very accurate several days out.
  23. I can't imagine the meltdowns if this ends up giving the Mid-Atlantic a monster storm and skunks everyone else
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