SnoSki14
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Everything posted by SnoSki14
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This is insane. 80s well north entering November. Jesus
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We are going beyond typical climate trends. The averages are rising at an exponential pace. A lot of people are still living in denial though...maybe once a Pac NW style heat ridge hits and everyone's 110+ for days with the entire power grid shutting down is when people will notice.
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A drought is the one thing we've managed to avoid in this climate, but perhaps not anymore. Models show little to no rain next 2 weeks with warm weather.
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You copy and paste twitter threads and only post about warm/dry weather. You're the JB of warm trolls You have no clue what you're talking about either. And thanks for wasting one of your 5 daily posts on me again.
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This has been a bizarre season. Hell we might roundabout our way into hyperactivity after all. SSTs are still very warm pretty much everywhere, so it's not over yet.
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I'm not seeing these big California troughs thus far. In fact we've seen record warmth in the SW which has fed into the large positive SST anomalies off the West Coast and much more SW ridging. PDO will be negative but that's another competing influence it'll be up against. I think the Pacific could be a lot more favorable this season, which matters much more than a very negative NAO/AO. In fact it might be better for us to see a +NAO given its diminished effects.
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I think that'll change, at least the warm weather. I'm seeing more ridging out west.
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MJO phase 8 though
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It's an extremely small system. Rapid changes are not unusual. I don't blame them, this had little to no model support
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And you'll be wrong
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Interesting that MJO looks to move into phase 8 to start November. I wonder if things may trend cooler for once
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But we don't live in the southwest. This "perfect" weather will eventually become a big problem.
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The combination of drought and these mega ridges is something new. This would be very bad if it held into next spring/summer
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It's very unlikely that we maintain these dry conditions all winter but if it is a very warm/dry winter then we're looking at big problems next spring/summer. We're talking major fire dangers here.
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I'm noticing rivers and creaks drying up. Will likely see moderate drought conditions expand.
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Just look at the ensembles. Nothing but torch for days on end. And I said after these couple cool days.
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If guidance showed a huge eastern trough you would say that would guarantee an eastern ridge for winter The warminista trolls have zero nuance. They are JB but for warmth.
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Nice blowtorch pattern coming up. Not a cool day in sight. Forky would be proud. 70s & 80s forever
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Going from one extreme to the next has become common.
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Nice blowtorch for days on end. Winter must be coming
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This would be very bad had it been summer
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Good news for winter then
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No way! You skeptical? That's crazy
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MJO following the Nina playbook. Looks like MJO 7 in November which will lead to another cooler than usual November.
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I meant the state as whole will fare okay. Sure local hard hit communities will face issues but this won't be the disaster the media said it'd be.
