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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. SnoSki14
    We'll get another tornado before we see more snow
  2. SnoSki14
    It'll feel like the Arctic compared to them. Wouldn't be shocked to see some 80F readings there.
  3. SnoSki14
    LR still looks like crap. The only good thing is the very positive EPO goes away. Strong Atlantic blocking would do wonders in this pattern. Maybe it won't be a 2015 blowtorch but it still sucks. I think we'll get a favorable period in Jan and then March like 2018 though nowhere as severe.
  4. SnoSki14
    Not as blow torchy either. We sort of get back fronted as the main heat surge focuses towards the Midwest. Certainly a possibility.
  5. SnoSki14
    We've seen time and time again how the supposed ENSO state has not played ball with other factors aka deconstructive interference. Case in point December should theoretically be the coldest month of a Nina but clearly that won't be the case. We'll def have to keep an eye on the EPO/MJO moving forward because they could fail to materialize in a favorable way as we've seen time and time again.
  6. SnoSki14
    It can't get much worse.
  7. SnoSki14
    The warming trend is very real though. December has been a torch averaged over the past decade. Fastest temperature rise of any winter month.
  8. SnoSki14
    Well I guess we're back to our single snow squall winter then.
  9. SnoSki14
    Pretty high amplitude MJO mid December onward. Does look like it's going to 8 but we've seen these head fakes before. Wonder if we'll start seeing changing on the modeling soon
  10. SnoSki14
    Welcome to our new climate change related paradigm.
  11. SnoSki14
    What a blowtorch mid December wow. Widespread 60s and 70s across entire country.
  12. SnoSki14
    I suppose we could also be in a prolonged unfavorable phase that'll last several years. Like a warm version on the 80s/90s. The +EPO has been a mainstay.
  13. SnoSki14
    Yeah sure but I'm not too sure it'll be that simple
  14. SnoSki14
    70s incoming
  15. SnoSki14
    Absolute blowtorch for the entire CONUS on EPS. Gives me hope for Jan/Feb though. We are no longer following typical ENSO climo anymore.
  16. SnoSki14
    I wouldn't discount a more amped up storm still 3+ days out given rocket fuel ssts to our east.
  17. SnoSki14
    We've seen models amp up time and time again as we get closer so I wouldn't discount this potential.
  18. SnoSki14
    A rare time when an unfavorable pattern could help us out. But it could also get sheared out.
  19. SnoSki14
    Trending towards a very weak system. Not sure if they'll be too much with this but it's better than nothing.
  20. SnoSki14
    Maybe a blowtorch December like 2015 will lead to a monstrous snowstorm in Jan. The waters are gonna be like rocket fuel , That's been one of the themes following a massive torch. We saw it after the 80F Feb reading as well.
  21. SnoSki14
    It's a blowtorch pattern. Not Nina climo whatsoever which gives me hope for Jan-March. The last mega December torch led to Jan 2016. That being said you can't compare 2015 to now either. If blocking doesn't materialize then it'll probably end up like 2011-2012, a strong analog this year. And I'm good with that honestly. A nice mild, dry winter ain't bad at all. Just hope it doesn't eff up spring and we get March like weather next 5-6 months.
  22. SnoSki14
    I don't see us torching like that either because Canada still looks very cold and the fast flow will prevent big cutters. So it'll probably be more of the same warm 1-2 days followed by cool downs.
  23. SnoSki14
    Yeah I think it's the other aspects of CC that are impacting our snow events rather than just overall warming averages. So the big events get really big while there's less small to mid-tier storms like you said.
  24. SnoSki14
    Fast Pacific flow probably helped keep us colder than we would've been this month as it prevented big inland cutters from forming which would've torched us.
  25. SnoSki14
    Yeah I don't feel good moving forward. Congrats snowman19 it seems that calling for warm & snowless every year means you'll get it right eventually like a dead clock. However if December doesn't play out like typical Nina climo what's to say Jan-March will. So it's too early to say what will happen.
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