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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. I don't want mid August weather in mid October. Good riddance to the crazy heat.
  2. I don't think that's how it works. It's warm for a reason, that reason being a very negative PDO and positive EPO. If those conditions stay present through late November then chances are they'll stick around for the winter. I don't know any winter where September-November torched and Dec-Feb were cold & snowy.
  3. The lack of October activity for a Nina has been very unusual
  4. Best opportunities will come early probably up till the new year and maybe late in the season. Jan-Feb will likely be very mild.
  5. Well it's different than what we've been having and at least it'll feel like fall for once.
  6. Yea it's coming starting Sunday. Look at the EPS, nice trough showing up in the east.
  7. Too early to say that but a day or two like that is possible. I'd go with low 70s though.
  8. October so far has had that cloudy, dreary feeling you get in autumn but with late summer temperatures & humidity. Very bizarre.
  9. Can we please stop taking anything he says seriously. I'm still waiting for the big global cooling he promised
  10. It's been very pleasant. No heat or a/c required. Could do without all those cloudy days though.
  11. An arctic shock is a definite possibility. We've seen an increase in brief Arctic pockets come and go. Something like that in 1st half of November wouldn't surprise me.
  12. MJO changes, dropping NAO & rising PNA makes me think this will adjust as we get closer. I'm already seeing that happen with EPS compared to a couple days ago
  13. Even near normal temps by next weekend will feel cold compared to what we've seen.
  14. I see the trough getting pushed further west and allowing a PNA to pop
  15. Indices support strong cooling by next weekend and beyond.
  16. Next week could easily put up the highest anomalies but the following week looks much cooler. It's too early to tell of course but tellies suggest cooler weather is coming. Raindancewx brought up 2011 as far as the ENSO state goes and we all know what happened that October.
  17. Probably a couple decades or so unless warming really speeds up. A much more pessimistic scenario would be by 2030 unless we see a massive reduction in emissions by then (very doubtful).
  18. It's been so warm that our lows are only 5-6 degrees from average highs. And next week looks even warmer than this one
  19. Joe B. is the biggest quack in the meteorological world. His said the 2010s would be like the 70s regarding cooling. Instead the opposite happened. And all his hurricane calls have been garbage too.
  20. That awful look could play out and AN snowfall could still happen. You really just need a well timed blocking episode
  21. Basically a slighter cooler version of this month for the next 5 months. At least the heating bills will be low.
  22. Raindancewx strongly had 11-12 and 01-02 as analogs. And just because it was wrong last time doesn't mean it'll be wrong again.
  23. I think a record warm October is a lock. Looking at +15 to +20 minimum departures into mid-late October. Maybe this will continue all winter.
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