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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. SnoSki14
    How was December in those years? I forget.
  2. SnoSki14
    It could show an ideal pattern and you'd say it was inaccurate. Your warm bias is overplayed. Yes AN is favored obviously but I don't think it'll be another 11/12 or 19/20
  3. SnoSki14
    That's crazy how some barely hit 32 or not at all. Many places in Jersey were in the 20s this morning. Hit 30F myself.
  4. SnoSki14
    Friday night will be the coldest of this stretch. Widespread 20s likely under ideal raditional cooling.
  5. SnoSki14
    First freeze of the season. 31F Now 30F just after sunrise.
  6. SnoSki14
    Already down to 37F
  7. SnoSki14
    34F this morning. Excellent raditional cooling tonight should easily get us to freezing.
  8. SnoSki14
    Sounds like rocket fuel for another 30-40"+ snowstorm nearby. All you need is a favorable blocking interval which I think is likely this season and boom.
  9. SnoSki14
    Without blocking it's gonna get warm. The west is getting bombarded with troughs. I don't mind it though. By November warm is 60s which is lovely. Climo doesn't favor snow anyway.
  10. SnoSki14
    Yeah I wouldn't give up on the weekend coastal.
  11. SnoSki14
    They don't and I love getting all those weenies for posting the truth. Btw get ready for more 60s and 70s 2nd & 3rd week of November.
  12. SnoSki14
    If we're seeing this kind of warmth today imagine 5-10 years from now. It'll be Septemberlike in November.
  13. SnoSki14
    I do think mid November (or even earlier) will be mild but I also see that being transient. I think the last third will turn cooler and that will go along with the expected blocking in December.
  14. SnoSki14
    Euro missed the mark with the hybrid storm. It had the low tucked off NJ coast but it ended up SE of LI.
  15. SnoSki14
    If the Nina stays coupled then I would buy it. Early season blocking is also strongly favored due to weak PV.
  16. SnoSki14
    Looks like it continued to ramp up LLJ too
  17. SnoSki14
    And some still hope a major comes by one year. Yeah good luck with that I'm sure nothing bad will happen.
  18. SnoSki14
    Afternoon models amping up LLJ for tomorrow night. You can see there's better mixing with higher temps depicted for S/C NJ. Much more of a wind threat than the last system. Could easily see widespread 40-50mph gusts.
  19. SnoSki14
    Works for me. Been saving a lot of money on heating bills. As long as it's below 70 in November then I'm fine.
  20. SnoSki14
    It won't come in without a WAR fight but yes cooler air is likely. I think the growing season will end for most late next week.
  21. SnoSki14
    As long as the track doesn't tuck. Hopefully yesterday's storm will be a precursor to our winter storm tracks.
  22. SnoSki14
    I don't think we'll see much wind with this. The trend has clearly been east with the low. If you're looking for wind then Friday's storm could be a better bet. Strong gradient with a south'easter type system. We could easily see 40-50mph gusts with that.
  23. SnoSki14
    Storm is too far east imo. Thought it would tuck in more but guess not. Don't see much problem with wind except C/E LI.
  24. SnoSki14
    Should easily get over 4" and then maybe some more rain when the low goes west. Looks like NW NJ jackpot with 6"+ amounts over there likely.
  25. SnoSki14
    Rgem casually dropping 8" over my area.
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