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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. SnoSki14
    NWS going somewhat against guidance and probably for good reason. Snow growth should be very good for a few hours. 4-8" still looking good
  2. SnoSki14
    Plenty of days to go. I'd be surprised if it was as far north as the Euro shows. I would feel better living in SNE though.
  3. SnoSki14
    It'll be a fine line between snowy or sleet/rain. I lean snowy due to the scope of the TPV and recent trends but it could lean either way especially near that 40-41N latitude.
  4. SnoSki14
    I'm sticking with 4-8" Nearly perfect track with intensifying low will not yield 2-4" totals for the coast.
  5. SnoSki14
    Yes that's true. I think there will be a bigger storm to follow shortly after the Arctic plunge. Even if Thursdays storm works out it doesn't scream huge storm to me right now.
  6. SnoSki14
    I'm a little weary about this one. Too much SE ridging for my liking but there should be ample cold up north to resist it. There's def a 50/50 in place and hopefully that trends stronger too. It'll likely be a redeveloper but could favor northern areas. We might see a snow to sleet/rain type storm but it's still early. I am getting a more northern/warmer PD 2 vibe though.
  7. SnoSki14
    It looks to die in 7 which isn't bad with blocking.
  8. SnoSki14
    I like globals for track and mesos for precip. Gfs is way too low imo. The current 4-7 forecast looks solid.
  9. SnoSki14
    On those precip charts a lot of that stuff that shows rain would be wet snow. I still like 6-10" but until other models come onboard I'll hedge closer to 4-8".
  10. SnoSki14
    I am surprised by how dry models are. The track is pretty much perfect for the coast. Maybe they'll pick things up today.
  11. SnoSki14
    You still think it'll be amped?
  12. SnoSki14
    Hopefully they ramp up again tomorrow afternoon. Sometimes models back off a bit only to come back again next cycle but we'll see.
  13. SnoSki14
    Nam is a solid 6-12" storm. Not worried about mixing. Even a bump NW would be fine.
  14. SnoSki14
    You get the opposite in early August when the nights begin to get a little shorter and maybe even a cold front passes by to drop the dews briefly. But then it quickly goes back to summer again. And currently it's very likely that the coldest weather still lies ahead. Actually the fact that we haven't seen many 50+ highs is surprising.
  15. SnoSki14
    I fully expect a bump west in track.
  16. SnoSki14
    I think the metro is in a good spot for this. There's still some wiggle room for a western push from most of the models. I think we'll get 6-10" with local spots near a foot.
  17. SnoSki14
    For the coast maybe. Though given how close we are to the event and the subtle shifts west I don't see a tucked in low this time. Pattern is much more progressive than with the last storm.
  18. SnoSki14
    Euro & Gfs LR look just a tad different.
  19. SnoSki14
    Some nice wiggle room. Good given the last minute NW trend.
  20. SnoSki14
    We got a foot in under 6hrs. Sometimes we get into these periods where it wants to keep snowing. Could we see a March 2018 but in February.
  21. SnoSki14
    It's always too amped but pattern is quite progressive so don't think this will tuck and linger near the coast.
  22. SnoSki14
    It's coming. Could end up being an ideal coastal track actually. And to those who think we can't get a lot of snow in a fast moving system we picked up nearly a foot in 5-8hrs.
  23. SnoSki14
    It's still a bit outta range. Anything beyond 48hrs gets tricky.
  24. SnoSki14
    Sign we'll see some NW shifts?
  25. SnoSki14
    These patterns have been known to persist for many months. I'm not convinced it all breaks down by March.
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