Jump to content

SnoSki14

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    15,400

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. SnoSki14
    Not much to be optimistic about. Jan could see some action first half as cold tries to bleed further south despite unfavorable PNA. I do think mid-late Jan through mid Feb will be a torch as we lose blocking temporarily. However I expect blocking to resurface later on with the -PNA no longer acting as a deterrent late Feb & March. I'm expecting 30" most of which will come in late Feb & March.
  2. SnoSki14
    Yeah it ain't gonna be very cold & snowy here when Seattle is seeing low teens and Vancouver lower single digits.
  3. SnoSki14
    I'd be shocked if we get 0 snowfall. I'm actually expecting us to get 30" mostly in late winter.
  4. SnoSki14
    Thats some serious cold out west. Pretty remarkable after the mega heat ridge over the summer. I expect some record cold & snows for those areas.
  5. SnoSki14
    Which is why I was never excited about this pattern. Two months from now this would be an excellent pattern though. And I do think this pattern will show up again in late Feb/March where most of our cold & snow will be.
  6. SnoSki14
    Exaggeration much
  7. SnoSki14
    They will have a lot more snow than us. Looks a good winter setting up for them, maybe even historic. We could def thread the needle in this pattern. We've had much worse patterns. Nothing crazy of course but some snow.
  8. SnoSki14
    Looks like it hit 19F here in Somerset
  9. SnoSki14
    Would've been a nice storm if the PNA was better. Some last minute trends could help eastern sections
  10. SnoSki14
    Highly unusual and convoluted pattern that will wreck havoc on the models. Models still attempting the phase shortwaves for 22nd which will have implications for future events. Strong -PNA coupled with strong Atlantic blocking. Everything is destructively interfering with one another. Now if this were mid-late Feb or March we would be sitting pretty given wavelength changes but as it stands it's one big mess.
  11. SnoSki14
    Oh what a surprise that a big -PNA isn't a good thing in late Dec/Jan
  12. SnoSki14
    Assuming this pattern locks in I'm expecting a very cold & snowy March.
  13. SnoSki14
    We had December highs in the teens back in the 2000s. Now getting below 40F is difficult.
  14. SnoSki14
    I'll take a good pacific over Atlantic blocking any day. That's why 13/14 & 14/15 were some of my favorite winters ever.
  15. SnoSki14
    On its face no December snowfall in a Nina is bad but we've seen a lot of things that we've never had before lately. Maybe this could be the first time we see 30"+ after 0" in December in a Nina.
  16. SnoSki14
    Theres plenty of cold air around but it's focused out west. Canada is very cold as well. Places that don't normally get snow out west will get plenty of it. Seattle & Vancouver and most of BC will see an unusual amount of cold & snow.
  17. SnoSki14
    Hopefully that's what happens. However those crazy negative anomalies off the west coast make me think otherwise. I am getting 2007-2008 vibes though. Central/northern New England will score huge in this pattern. SNE is on the fence. Anyone further south is cooked if things don't improve out west.
  18. SnoSki14
    A negative NAO/AO combined with a strongly negative PNA/PDO in late December/January will lead to a gradient pattern that favors New England. It's very 2007-2008 esque with heaviest amounts in central/northern New England
  19. SnoSki14
    I would wait a few days. The wild Pacific jet is causing day and night changes over a span of a few runs. It could easily flip in 2 days. Anything after 3 days is highly speculative on the op runs.
  20. SnoSki14
    Nice Xmas blowtorch on the Euro. Blocking doesn't mean squat with a record negative PNA/PDO. If you thought the anomalies for the US were warm before just wait till next week. Should easily be the warmest December on record.
  21. SnoSki14
    PNA is the problem. The streams won't phase unless we see a more positive PNA. Hopefully it keeps trending more favorably
  22. SnoSki14
    Pretty obvious trends as we get closer. At 5 days out this could continue to trend.
  23. SnoSki14
    MJO 7 is still okay though.
  24. SnoSki14
    Gfs getting closer to something good for 23rd. Really nice improvements out west. Trend is our friend?
  25. SnoSki14
    Yeah I'd be surprised if it pulled it off so quickly.
×
×
  • Create New...