SnoSki14
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Everything posted by SnoSki14
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Temperatures will be a full month ahead of schedule and there isn't even anomalous ridging. It's scary how fast we've warmed. The consequences won't be good.
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The only worry if we get an early bloom is a late season April cold shot. That's why it's good to wait until we're in the clear.
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Yup that's it for winter. Get ready for allergy season. Growing season will kick into high gear with temperatures mostly in the 60s a full month ahead of schedule. Weather wise it looks extremely boring
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Winds picking up and temps dropping again
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They also always answer him. You don't feed a troll. It's not hard to ignore and move on.
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I just put him on ignore and move on. Some of the attacks he gets are not justified though.
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This is a nice parting gift to an otherwise mediocre winter. The snow chapter closes until November (pending surprise late March/April event).
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That sleet base will make things very slick as temperatures continue to drop.
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Mostly snow here though you could still hear some pingers.
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Could see more sleet vs snow. Either way things will be messy later west of the city.
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We'll see what happens. Keep expectations low and maybe you'll be surprised. The biggest question mark is when does the changeover occur. If it happens quickly then you'll get more, if it's delayed you get less.
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The snowman method: pick the least snowiest model and run with it. If Rgem had a crusher he would say it's a terrible model. In addition even it got colder/snowier.
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Have to keep an eye on the changeover. If it flips quickly then we'll get a nice heavy snow burst with temps dropping into the 20s. Hopefully it's a positive bust for once
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That's what it'll come down to. That's how you get accumulations during the day in mid March.
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Very unusual to see temperatures drop into the 20s during the day in mid March. As long as dynamics hold this will be a flash freeze event. Forecast lows in the teens tomorrow night with wind chills near or below 0 with gusty conditions. Very impressive given very warm March so far.
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I think travel impacts are being underestimated. Models clearly showing temps crashing into the 20s by Saturday afternoon especially just west of the city. Good thing it's Saturday and not a weekday.
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Intense dynamics in play. Will probably be a sleet vs snow battle for a bit with heavier rates leaning towards snow.
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March will still average AN but April could end up on the cool side relative to climo.
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Not surprised given the unusual setup. They'll likely be behind the ball until the event begins.
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Nam/HRRR getting a lot snowier.
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I don't think so. Temperatures are plummeting as precip comes in. Dynamics FTW
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Obviously don't expect much unless you live in NW NJ but some accumulation seems likely given trends.
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Very true. There's only so much upside to this. I'd rather have a more dynamic system vs strung out one in mid March.
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My hopes aren't very high but to discount any accumulation would be silly. Either way it should be a very wintry 24 hours with some impressive cold Saturday night.
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Clearly you didn't read Bluewaves post
