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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. SnoSki14
    Jesus is the Euro warm. Highest height anomalies on the planet for eastern US/Canada. Like our own version of the Pacific NW ridge this summer.
  2. SnoSki14
    At this rate they won't be below 70 till November
  3. SnoSki14
    No support elsewhere.
  4. SnoSki14
    I don't see any 40s going into mid October. Should easily be the hottest October on record
  5. SnoSki14
    It won't if it hit 70F today. Next 10-14 days look very mild. The only way it stays below 70F is if enough clouds/rain keep temperatures down.
  6. SnoSki14
    Still getting 80s in October with ease
  7. SnoSki14
  8. SnoSki14
    October will easily be a +5 or better month. Probably near top 3 warmest all of northeast. Lows are torching and highs could end up much higher if onshore pattern fails to materialize. PS. Thanks for all the weenie tags, you're just proving my point. Enjoy your Torchtober
  9. SnoSki14
    Easy +10 through mid October. Highs in the low to mid 70s with some days near 80. Lows not getting below 54-55. Probably another top 5 warmest month if not higher. Very scary stuff
  10. SnoSki14
    That's how you get these powerful 15-20F freezes that kill everything in one swoop.
  11. SnoSki14
    It could stay like this till Thanksgiving
  12. SnoSki14
    No cold air in sight for October. Probably won't see a BN day after this week till November. Delayed frost and leaf change guaranteed though a sneaky late October snowfall wouldn't shock me.
  13. SnoSki14
    This highly suggest a lot of onshore flow days so probably near normal highs and warm minimums.
  14. SnoSki14
    Gfs keeps the wave behind Sam weak and tracks it into the Caribbean.
  15. SnoSki14
    There's not a lot of ridging out there. Obviously things have changed markedly since a couple days ago. There remains a small possibility Sam could get left behind if he stays far enough south instead of the ULL taking him OTS. He's really far east though, would be a miracle to get him west enough to impact the US. After Sam attention will shift to western Caribbean, lots of potential there heading into October.
  16. SnoSki14
    Tropical models will not handle the ULL correctly until it's game time. Euro will be very important going forward. Still the odds of an easy coast hit is probably 10% right now. The capture needs to happen for a hit.
  17. SnoSki14
    Euro is a lot closer to CMC than Gfs Looks like it'll be close for Maine. Still we're talking 9/10 days out so a lot will change. The strong ridge building in and potential ULL do seem to be on the table though. A capture is the only thing that will send it towards the east coast.
  18. SnoSki14
    There's your capture with the ULL Short term track next 3-4 days will be important. Further south it stays the more likely the CMC scenario could play out.
  19. SnoSki14
    Yea if that's correct then it'll def be way east. However the combo of the strong high to the north and ULL could create another system close to shore.
  20. SnoSki14
    Well I would rather not have a hurricane impact the area so OTS is best. That being said it's premature to say this will harmlessly go OTS at this stage.
  21. SnoSki14
    With a large ridge building in the east and strong ULL moving SW I think it's way too early to say it's going OTS
  22. SnoSki14
    It isn't wishcasting it's assessing the pattern.
  23. SnoSki14
    10 days out Next run will show a big hit
  24. SnoSki14
    The WAR will win the day as it has every time. The fact that it's so far west Day 9/10 should worry people.
  25. SnoSki14
    If that cutoff low is real then it's gonna be a problem. Every cutoff has adjusted west over time due to the WAR.
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