SnoSki14

Why do you even bother responding. It's the same ole routine. Every model could show a snowstorm and he'll point to one model that shows the least. It's so tiresome. Given the extent of the high pressure and deep cold I'd say a front end thump of a few inches is very possible. The risk is the wave becoming too amplified but even then a front end thump could still happen before any changeover. Keep an eye on the storm ahead of it. If that trends stronger then the cold press will be stronger which would cause the next system to be further south aka colder/snowier.

Meh wake me up in a week when the threat is at our doorstep.

GFS amping up Tuesday which would suppress the following system

Tomorrow should be another interesting day with possible snow squalls and another surge of strong winds.

Winds have been roaring all night. Nice squall line setting up too. Expecting even sharper winds with the squall and behind the front.

Snow squall potential Saturday afternoon with an arctic front? Lapse rates look very impressive. Very gusty too (55mph)

67F in Somerset today. A nice mid April day. Still in the 60s now

If that's true then there would be threats till mid March at least. No early spring with that look

Very nice look. I noticed it's raising heights over Greenland too. The 25/26th looks like a possible threat. GGEM even makes the threat before it close but think that's for C/NNE to possibly SNE.

The biggest worry is suppression for sure but I don't see a March 2015 or was it 2014 where the Mid-Atlantic got all the snows.

You'll have 3-4' by mid March

Do you think this will aid with the winds later.

Wild it was just in the teens a couple days ago and it'll be back in the teens a couple days from now.

Less clouds now and temperatures really soaring. 66F

He's a troll. Ignore it. He's been hilariously wrong all year and gets things right about as often as a dead clock. So far the ensembles are favorable for late Feb into March. Can they change warmer, sure, but until that happens the colder path is more probable.

Clouds will make it harder to hit records.

I disagree. I see a lot of overrunning/SWFE. A lot of messy systems possible

Hopefully we cash in. March should theoretically be a lot more active/stormy than January. You have airmasses clashing, rapidly changing wave lengths, some of the most powerful coastals were in March. However the lack of any NAO/AO isn't promising. Not sure how important they are later in the season but imagine they're still good to have.

I'm not sure exactly how late Feb & March will play out but it should be interesting if you enjoy stormy weather & not just snow. I'm definitely going to enjoy the milder weather though. Wasn't a fan of this recent cold.

That would yield interesting results. I guess we could be going back to our cool Nov/March + torch Dec/Feb pattern.

Well WW3 could be coming with nukes. Nuclear winter before we all perish?

It's 26F in mid Feb but it feels cold given how pitiful the cold spells have been lately. Feb 2015 was the last truly cold Feb.

GEFS not as terrible very last couple days this month into March.

Considering the rest of Feb looks like hot garbage I'll take any severe weather event

It looks nice. Probably a couple inches out there. Still snowing now.