Jump to content

SnoSki14

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    14,681

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. SnoSki14
    It can't get much worse.
  2. SnoSki14
    The warming trend is very real though. December has been a torch averaged over the past decade. Fastest temperature rise of any winter month.
  3. SnoSki14
    Well I guess we're back to our single snow squall winter then.
  4. SnoSki14
    Pretty high amplitude MJO mid December onward. Does look like it's going to 8 but we've seen these head fakes before. Wonder if we'll start seeing changing on the modeling soon
  5. SnoSki14
    Welcome to our new climate change related paradigm.
  6. SnoSki14
    What a blowtorch mid December wow. Widespread 60s and 70s across entire country.
  7. SnoSki14
    I suppose we could also be in a prolonged unfavorable phase that'll last several years. Like a warm version on the 80s/90s. The +EPO has been a mainstay.
  8. SnoSki14
    Yeah sure but I'm not too sure it'll be that simple
  9. SnoSki14
    70s incoming
  10. SnoSki14
    Absolute blowtorch for the entire CONUS on EPS. Gives me hope for Jan/Feb though. We are no longer following typical ENSO climo anymore.
  11. SnoSki14
    I wouldn't discount a more amped up storm still 3+ days out given rocket fuel ssts to our east.
  12. SnoSki14
    We've seen models amp up time and time again as we get closer so I wouldn't discount this potential.
  13. SnoSki14
    A rare time when an unfavorable pattern could help us out. But it could also get sheared out.
  14. SnoSki14
    Trending towards a very weak system. Not sure if they'll be too much with this but it's better than nothing.
  15. SnoSki14
    Maybe a blowtorch December like 2015 will lead to a monstrous snowstorm in Jan. The waters are gonna be like rocket fuel , That's been one of the themes following a massive torch. We saw it after the 80F Feb reading as well.
  16. SnoSki14
    It's a blowtorch pattern. Not Nina climo whatsoever which gives me hope for Jan-March. The last mega December torch led to Jan 2016. That being said you can't compare 2015 to now either. If blocking doesn't materialize then it'll probably end up like 2011-2012, a strong analog this year. And I'm good with that honestly. A nice mild, dry winter ain't bad at all. Just hope it doesn't eff up spring and we get March like weather next 5-6 months.
  17. SnoSki14
    I don't see us torching like that either because Canada still looks very cold and the fast flow will prevent big cutters. So it'll probably be more of the same warm 1-2 days followed by cool downs.
  18. SnoSki14
    Yeah I think it's the other aspects of CC that are impacting our snow events rather than just overall warming averages. So the big events get really big while there's less small to mid-tier storms like you said.
  19. SnoSki14
    Fast Pacific flow probably helped keep us colder than we would've been this month as it prevented big inland cutters from forming which would've torched us.
  20. SnoSki14
    Yeah I don't feel good moving forward. Congrats snowman19 it seems that calling for warm & snowless every year means you'll get it right eventually like a dead clock. However if December doesn't play out like typical Nina climo what's to say Jan-March will. So it's too early to say what will happen.
  21. SnoSki14
    Coldest night so far at 23F
  22. SnoSki14
    28F right now. Temps dropping quickly outside urban areas.
  23. SnoSki14
    Another chilly day for late November. 40F now and 43F today. Solidly negative departure month and a stark difference from the record warm October.
  24. SnoSki14
    You won't get much with fast Pacific jet pattern. You don't even get the big inland cutters due to how fast the flow is. There's a good cold source to our north though so we end up on the cooler side of things but it'll never get very cold due to state of pattern.
  25. SnoSki14
    If December doesn't follow the typical Nina narrative then why should the other months follow it. That being said you don't want to get completely shut out in a Nina December otherwise it doesn't bode well for the rest of winter.
×
×
  • Create New...