SnoSki14
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Everything posted by SnoSki14
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I think it'll be onshore flow driven though rather than a classic warm-up meaning tepid highs, warm mins and rain/wind chances for someone Even east coast tropical threats not off the table if Euro is correct
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Looks like a tropical storm on satellite. Someone's gonna get hit very hard
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Getting some gusts and rain with the front
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Nothing much here.
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Devastating impacts for eastern areas. 6"+ amounts with 60+ mph gusts
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Models show us getting shafted with most of the rains to our west & east.
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I'm not convinced things break down like the GFS is suggesting in the LR but do think it'll warm up last week of October. Frost/freezes seem likely next week outside of urban centers and shore locations.
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What's a great winter there, like 10" of snow?
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That has to be a top season for them. Just wow
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And you think every winter will be 01/02 & 11/12 That's true just saying raindancewx had very warm anomalies for the east. Doesn't mean he'll be right though. Warm anomalies could still generate near normal or even AN snows in the right pattern
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Suddenly the AO/NAO are flipping neutral/negative where a few days ago it was still positive
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34F this morning it looks like. Colors really popping, could turn out to be a stellar foliage season at this rate though it remains to be seen what happens next week.
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Ok but you also think every winter will be a torch. It's like JB saying every winter will be cold & snowy. Eventually one of you will be right though much heavier lean on the warm side for obvious reasons.
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A modest ridge like yesterday was enough. Anything more would easily result in widespread 80s however right now that's unlikely.
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Raindancewx winter forecast has an epic torch this winter (2011-2012 style) with well below normal snows for the east
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Just shy of 80F here, still quite mild at 70
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It should really ramp up with the cool nights, dry mild days over next week
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Why would you even want that in October. A stormy look with some cold periods is just fine
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Late next week. Ensembles showing strong front into Friday/Saturday Possible wave breaking event too setting up a -NAO
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Late next week looks very interesting and potentially stormy.
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We'll see how long it lasts
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Probably not wise to assume anything in today's climate. Not all Nina's behave the same. So far this month isn't acting like a Nina October
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Looks like 4-5" amounts here which won't completely wipe out the deficit but it's pretty close.
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Yeah I agree, an El Nino pattern with an active southern jet this is not. I'd be willing to bet the default Nina state will also try to come back.
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Last October was so ridiculously warm as have the last several Octobers that this cool period really stands out Ensembles not showing any big warm periods either due to Pacific based blocking. Early thinking is it'll be close to 2018/2015 as 2009 seems a bit of a stretch.
