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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. SnoSki14
    The snowman method: pick the least snowiest model and run with it. If Rgem had a crusher he would say it's a terrible model. In addition even it got colder/snowier.
  2. SnoSki14
    Have to keep an eye on the changeover. If it flips quickly then we'll get a nice heavy snow burst with temps dropping into the 20s. Hopefully it's a positive bust for once
  3. SnoSki14
    That's what it'll come down to. That's how you get accumulations during the day in mid March.
  4. SnoSki14
    Very unusual to see temperatures drop into the 20s during the day in mid March. As long as dynamics hold this will be a flash freeze event. Forecast lows in the teens tomorrow night with wind chills near or below 0 with gusty conditions. Very impressive given very warm March so far.
  5. SnoSki14
    I think travel impacts are being underestimated. Models clearly showing temps crashing into the 20s by Saturday afternoon especially just west of the city. Good thing it's Saturday and not a weekday.
  6. SnoSki14
    Intense dynamics in play. Will probably be a sleet vs snow battle for a bit with heavier rates leaning towards snow.
  7. SnoSki14
    March will still average AN but April could end up on the cool side relative to climo.
  8. SnoSki14
    Not surprised given the unusual setup. They'll likely be behind the ball until the event begins.
  9. SnoSki14
    Nam/HRRR getting a lot snowier.
  10. SnoSki14
    I don't think so. Temperatures are plummeting as precip comes in. Dynamics FTW
  11. SnoSki14
    Obviously don't expect much unless you live in NW NJ but some accumulation seems likely given trends.
  12. SnoSki14
    Very true. There's only so much upside to this. I'd rather have a more dynamic system vs strung out one in mid March.
  13. SnoSki14
    My hopes aren't very high but to discount any accumulation would be silly. Either way it should be a very wintry 24 hours with some impressive cold Saturday night.
  14. SnoSki14
    Clearly you didn't read Bluewaves post
  15. SnoSki14
    There is some credence to the east solutions given kicker and fast flow. The more amplified storm yesterday would also help shift the track of the next system further east. This is also a scenario where places like DC & Philly may do better given they're further west We'll see what the Euro says
  16. SnoSki14
    Nam being flat at this stage is interesting. Usually it's the most amped model
  17. SnoSki14
    This could be a rare flash freeze system. Temperatures really plunge quickly.
  18. SnoSki14
    I see no reason why this can't trend more amped as it gets closer.
  19. SnoSki14
    I highly doubt it'll be as pleasant and picturesque as he thinks. I see a lot of dangerous weather this spring & summer. Also late March & April/May will likely have some crappy stretches with easterly flow guaranteed to cause misery.
  20. SnoSki14
    Well the good news is we don't have to deal with the snow question after Saturday for at least 8 months, which means Snowman will shut up finally. I suppose there's always a chance of a late March or April fluke but the weeklies don't support anything of that nature.
  21. SnoSki14
    Nah there just isn't a lot of cold air available. This is elevation dependent.
  22. SnoSki14
    I hope so, models have had a tendency to weaken systems as we get closer. Would love a powerful amped up storm.
  23. SnoSki14
    There's a whole country out there, why only focus on the same dozen spots. And nowadays work can be done anywhere.
  24. SnoSki14
    After this weekend we can finally toss this crappy winter in the garbage. Not a disaster thanks to -EPO but solid C- Warm weather (60s & 70s) from mid March onward. Hopefully it stays like that through May. The 80+ weather could wait till late May though.
  25. SnoSki14
    Enjoy the cold rain
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