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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. SnoSki14
    Big time droughts are very rare here. You'd really need a dry winter/spring before there's a lot of concern. Still the dryness has been impressive particularly on vegetation.
  2. SnoSki14
    I'm honestly glad we're not getting hits right now. We're already going through major economic turmoil, the last thing we need is a major hurricane threat. Still way too early to say it'll last though. Gotta watch the Caribbean/Gulf late September into October.
  3. SnoSki14
    Welcome rains over New England
  4. SnoSki14
    Most useless WAR ever. Can't even send Earl west. I'm also pretty convinced we go from summer to winter again sometime in early November. Like 80s to 30/40s type of deal.
  5. SnoSki14
    Euro south, GFS north. Somewhere in the middle will work.
  6. SnoSki14
    The only indicators are earlier sunsets and drought stress trees that look like they're turning.
  7. SnoSki14
    The drought is finally ending? Usually when we see one extreme (record-near record dry summer) we go the other pretty quickly nowadays.
  8. SnoSki14
    We really need a good prolonged soaker. These quick hits didn't help much. A lot of burnt out, dead trees and bushes now.
  9. SnoSki14
    Something's gotta give. Too much energy in the north Atlantic, a severe -NAO, tropical influences as well. GFS OP shows tons of competing influences
  10. SnoSki14
    91L hanging around on the Euro off the east coast too.
  11. SnoSki14
    Euro keeping it weak which makes it a threat down the line
  12. SnoSki14
    It does show what could happen if it stays disorganized, which it looks like it will.
  13. SnoSki14
    Crazy, some people are still trying to justify that things weren't so hot. If a top 2-3 or hottest/driest summer on record ain't good enough then what is. The persistence is key when it comes to climate change and that's what we're seeing all over the world, endless heat.
  14. SnoSki14
    We can't even get a near normal month with the new averages. Every month is a top 5 warmest month. Kinda wild how fast things are warming when you really think about it. A 0" snowfall is definitely on the cards if this pattern rolls into winter.
  15. SnoSki14
    The forecast temperatures are what we would normally see for August. August is the new September clearly.
  16. SnoSki14
    I don't see it getting classified tonight as storms can't maintain around center due to shear. Maybe tomorrow which means August will be a shutout
  17. SnoSki14
    I'm not sure the standard ENSO state applies anymore. There's been a disconnect for several seasons now
  18. SnoSki14
    Very heavy rains over Somerset, heaviest in months. Much welcomed
  19. SnoSki14
    Florida's climate is coming to us
  20. SnoSki14
    Euro picking up on the blocking signals. Maybe it won't be an endless torch after all
  21. SnoSki14
    Fascinating we're seeing such little precip this year after record rains just a year ago. From one extreme to the next with a short turnaround period.
  22. SnoSki14
    I always thought we would see less hurricanes but stronger ones in an AGW world. We also just had a string of well above normal seasons.
  23. SnoSki14
    I wonder if models have yet to pick up on the seasonal transition cues because the GFS still thinks it's mid July by September 10. The GFS does this a lot in March too when it shows single digits for mid March. Chances are it'll be very warm but I'm very weary of the days and days of 95+ readings.
  24. SnoSki14
    This is unfortunate. I'm glad we had some rains last week but it's nowhere near enough and far too localized to make an impact. Not much on the tropics front either. Bad fire season ahead. GFS OP to 2 weeks has literally no rain for anyone and upper 80s to low 90s pretty much everyday. Nuts
  25. SnoSki14
    We should probably start using 10 year averages not 30 given how fast our climate is warming. Our new averages can't keep up with the warning trends and this is only with 1-1.5C global warming. Imagine how things will be like when it's 2.5-3C warming by 2040-2050.
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