SnoSki14
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Everything posted by SnoSki14
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EPS supports a cool shot but could easily moderate. Additionally cool shots by late March are not very cool. Still we likely haven't seen our last freeze.
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80s incoming
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You'd think so but we've seen even warmer Marches. If the cool down is mitigated a top 10 warm March is likely.
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That will fuel more severe weather and flooding as well as additional tropical threats. I think the "dry summer" regime is dead for good.
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So a combo of that plus those 100+ readings
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This summer could be a brutal one rivaling the early 2010s imo. Nina sticking around + record SSTs offshore
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Just more multi day 70+ in mid March with severe thunderstorm potential...nothing alarming here.
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Keeping an eye on NAO/AO as they've been positive for months now. I think if they flip it won't be temporary. As long as it doesn't flip before May then spring should stay very warm
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I see upper 70s on Friday. Very easy to beat guidance this time of year with bare trees.
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It's almost 70F again and probably mid-up 70s by Friday. Sure it's nice now but this is very alarming. We're beating the newer records like it's nothing and it's only mid March.
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In 15 days a cool day is basically today's high.
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We're really tempting fate with these active hurricane seasons and strengthening SE ridging.
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Temperatures will be a full month ahead of schedule and there isn't even anomalous ridging. It's scary how fast we've warmed. The consequences won't be good.
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The only worry if we get an early bloom is a late season April cold shot. That's why it's good to wait until we're in the clear.
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Yup that's it for winter. Get ready for allergy season. Growing season will kick into high gear with temperatures mostly in the 60s a full month ahead of schedule. Weather wise it looks extremely boring
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Winds picking up and temps dropping again
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They also always answer him. You don't feed a troll. It's not hard to ignore and move on.
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I just put him on ignore and move on. Some of the attacks he gets are not justified though.
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This is a nice parting gift to an otherwise mediocre winter. The snow chapter closes until November (pending surprise late March/April event).
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That sleet base will make things very slick as temperatures continue to drop.
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Mostly snow here though you could still hear some pingers.
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Could see more sleet vs snow. Either way things will be messy later west of the city.
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We'll see what happens. Keep expectations low and maybe you'll be surprised. The biggest question mark is when does the changeover occur. If it happens quickly then you'll get more, if it's delayed you get less.
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The snowman method: pick the least snowiest model and run with it. If Rgem had a crusher he would say it's a terrible model. In addition even it got colder/snowier.
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Have to keep an eye on the changeover. If it flips quickly then we'll get a nice heavy snow burst with temps dropping into the 20s. Hopefully it's a positive bust for once
