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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. Looks subtropical actually. Need to see other models though.
  2. That looks very Nino-ish as does the quiet tropics
  3. Looking at OP/Ensembles there are strong indications the season picks up after the 20th. Nice broad Atlantic ridge looks to set up with waves underneath. Shear also dropping in MDR region
  4. Not good for continued drought if the GFS is wrong but we do get these excessive dry periods every now & then.
  5. I have a feeling this will tuck closer to the coast. If this were winter I'd be worried
  6. Half the country is usually still in the 80s going into October However if the GFS is right it would feel more like October Mon-Wed
  7. At some point fire issues may be a thing with the continued dry conditions especially if things don't change heading into September/October.
  8. Back to just regular heat
  9. I mean though a quiet season would be extremely boring, it would be good for everyone dealing with high energy prices & inflation this year. However I'm still waiting for August 20-22th. That's the period when the switch normally happens and you'd be surprised how quickly the tides can turn.
  10. The heat wave ended yesterday if we're being honest. 95+ should be the criteria. 90F is basically normal in today's climate.
  11. Favorable tropics pattern after the 20th with the trough going west and WAR building west
  12. Weatherwise Feb/March & Aug/Sept are my favorite periods. September is just great all around, best beach month imo.
  13. No it's still very much summer. 86F now and probably making a run at 90 today.
  14. 76/65 right now. Not exactly a cool start but some improvement The much more noticeable cool down with low humidity will be on Friday
  15. We must be in the top 3-5 now for the June 1 to August 9th period
  16. Everything will depend on blocking as always. Can't be forecast very well in advance Also above normal winter temps are a given most years but that doesn't mean it can't snow.
  17. Lmao what. JB is one of the worst forecasters ever. He says the same thing every year so sure eventually something will stick. He also called for global cooling in the 2010s, talk about a miss. He's a major climate change denier or skeptic as well.
  18. In 20 years days like today and summers like this year will be the norm. Let's see how well we'll adapt
  19. This weather effing blows And zero storms on the horizon
  20. What a waste of a heat wave
  21. My county (Somerset) just upgraded to one
  22. I disagree. I think this one can develop over time. Each day that passes climo works in its favor. MJO moving to a more favorable phase 2 as well
  23. Today will likely be the hottest until next summer. We look to transition to more high dew, high precip after the weekend. Trough just to our west with WAR building in. Great setup for drought busting weather and tropical influences to get involved
  24. This is actually not good because it'll favor development close to home whereas most central & eastern Atlantic storms would recurve.
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