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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. SnoSki14
    It's too quiet, it's almost eerie. Expect major cane soon, pattern kinda screaming for it.
  2. SnoSki14
    Trough digging in Midwest would enhance the ridge ahead of it. This would probably go into NC/VA
  3. SnoSki14
    Very easy to do in this SW desert type of climate The low humidity makes it much more tolerable though
  4. SnoSki14

    PTC 4

    SnoSki14 replied to GaWx's topic in Tropical Headquarters

    Lid normally comes off after tomorrow but this year looks slower than recent years so could be a 7-10 day delay before things pop off. I suspect September/October will be quite active as dry air continues to slowly subside. Shear is actually normal to below normal in MDR
  5. SnoSki14
    Newark could easily rack up another 5-6 days of 90s this month and get near or at its all time record. And September always brings 2-4 more 90s so they should top 50 when all is said and done
  6. SnoSki14
    Is this the default from now on or will we ever have something else I'm guessing this is the norm
  7. SnoSki14
    Yeah this could quickly spin up. BoC has been an extremely favorable area of development
  8. SnoSki14
    First D2 drought severity for me in several years.
  9. SnoSki14
    There's a good chance this will go down as the hottest summer on record for many stations. The rest of the month looks very warm to hot
  10. SnoSki14
    A hurricane is more likely
  11. SnoSki14
    I don't know if Newark can take the top spot but the second spot is def in the cards. Definitely a lot of near 90 potential rest of the month and September always gives us a few 90s too.
  12. SnoSki14
    East coast is a target with waves coming off further north than usual and the subtropical ridge anchored north of its typical position
  13. SnoSki14
    So how do you explain 2013? Well below average ACE, non-El Nino Following winter was cold & snowy
  14. SnoSki14
    If I had a dollar every time I heard that this summer I'd be rich. We are getting closer to some of the bad drought years but I assume the heavy rains of the past decade will keep us afloat for a while. Reservoir levels still look ok.
  15. SnoSki14
    Ensembles clearly sensing a burst of activity soon and right on cue too. Lid always comes off after the 20th.
  16. SnoSki14
    Very likely we might not see rain for another week or so and more upgrades in drought severity seem likely
  17. SnoSki14
    Very noticeable differences too in the red zone where I live and places down the shore Everything is brown here while there's plenty of green in those areas.
  18. SnoSki14
    So how much longer before the stein meme is no longer funny but a real concern. When fire season hits?
  19. SnoSki14
    The drought pretty much guarantees we'll see many late season 90s. The 95+ stuff might be done but the near 90 heat will stick around for a while. I also see a rapid summer to cold season transition. Very active fire season too if we get into mid September with little rain.
  20. SnoSki14
    It looks like our drought will worsen with very little rain coming and temperatures warming later this week back to near 90.
  21. SnoSki14
    Tropical, no but at the very least it's a hybrid/sub-tropical. Its origins are over the very warm gulf stream.
  22. SnoSki14
    Looks subtropical actually. Need to see other models though.
  23. SnoSki14
    That looks very Nino-ish as does the quiet tropics
  24. SnoSki14
    Looking at OP/Ensembles there are strong indications the season picks up after the 20th. Nice broad Atlantic ridge looks to set up with waves underneath. Shear also dropping in MDR region
  25. SnoSki14
    Not good for continued drought if the GFS is wrong but we do get these excessive dry periods every now & then.
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