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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. We seem to be due for a flip soon. Likely not as cold vs prior periods due to continued effects of cc but much colder than we've been. Could this winter be the beginning of that. I hear 2000-01 being thrown around as an analog. Could be fitting since it marked the change from the mild/BN snow years of the mid-late 90s.
  2. Models can't figure things out 5 days out let alone 10. For example Euro's mega ridge from a couple runs ago is completely gone.
  3. Anything beyond 5 days is fantasy range to me.
  4. GFS ends with a weenie trough to end September. How JB like
  5. GFS really firing up the tropical threats
  6. Noticeably less humid outside compared to a few hours ago
  7. Often our heat in September ends with a tropical system.
  8. Ridge builds over the east coast so track wise it could head pretty far west.
  9. Jesus Christ what a death ridge on the models. This is all time record highs stuff and it just sits there for days
  10. Yes Euro is a furnace. GFS will come around. Endless summer
  11. Some stray 90 readings are possible next week. LR EPS/GEFS does show some early signs of troughing to end September. Nice taste of fall later this week
  12. So wouldn't that just continue into winter. Every month has been well above normal if not a top 5 hot month. Also gotta love JB cherry picking that it's gonna be cold for a few days in parts of Europe after record heat/dry for months. Guess that disproves any warming.
  13. We'd need a very dry winter/spring then a repeat of this summer for serious drought effects.
  14. Big time droughts are very rare here. You'd really need a dry winter/spring before there's a lot of concern. Still the dryness has been impressive particularly on vegetation.
  15. I'm honestly glad we're not getting hits right now. We're already going through major economic turmoil, the last thing we need is a major hurricane threat. Still way too early to say it'll last though. Gotta watch the Caribbean/Gulf late September into October.
  16. Most useless WAR ever. Can't even send Earl west. I'm also pretty convinced we go from summer to winter again sometime in early November. Like 80s to 30/40s type of deal.
  17. Euro south, GFS north. Somewhere in the middle will work.
  18. The only indicators are earlier sunsets and drought stress trees that look like they're turning.
  19. The drought is finally ending? Usually when we see one extreme (record-near record dry summer) we go the other pretty quickly nowadays.
  20. We really need a good prolonged soaker. These quick hits didn't help much. A lot of burnt out, dead trees and bushes now.
  21. Something's gotta give. Too much energy in the north Atlantic, a severe -NAO, tropical influences as well. GFS OP shows tons of competing influences
  22. 91L hanging around on the Euro off the east coast too.
  23. Euro keeping it weak which makes it a threat down the line
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