SnoSki14
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Everything posted by SnoSki14
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The shortwave does come in while the PNA is going up. The PNA ridge isn't very established until a couple days after A stronger, established PNA probably could've counteracted the ridge east of New England. At the very least the very cold airmass post cutter should help cool off some of those warm waters
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That's a beastly cutter too.
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West coast ridge is more important than anything else
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Just give the severe weather then. Hurricane gusts and massive temp drops. I'll take interesting over boring
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It's usually better than December due to colder ssts and different wavelengths. We can get away with a bad pacific in March
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Happy New Year!
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Probably longer. Ensembles show a massive Alaskan vortex. If that happens the first half of January would be toastj Just garbage all around.
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If the CMC is right we have a better chance of seeing a tornado than snow
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Makes you wonder if we'll ever be able to get snow with so many conditions against us
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They still do. The cold arrives before Christmas.
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Just give me a screamer at this point 70mph gusts. 50+ degree temp drops
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At this point I'll take the extreme cold front. At least it would be interesting
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Not if that solution verifies
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CMC has the strongest arctic front we've seen in years. From 60+ to single digits in 12-18hrs along with 50-60+ gusts
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A little early. Christmas Eve & Christmas will be very cold regardless
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Very dramatic changes. I think we need to see a few more runs before saying it's done.
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It doesn't always happen right away. Sometimes it can take over a month and December hasn't been kind to us. But it is what it is. Also not every strong -AO has led to a snowy outcome especially in a Nina
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Yeah models runs suck today. PNA gets going too late. It showed this a couple days ago. We'll see if it reverts or stays this way.
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The CMC is just an arctic front
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Euro tends to overamplify systems in the LR, which is why its latest run makes me skeptical. Not saying it won't be a hugger but I'd be surprised if the Euro's evolution played out.
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Idk what everyone's complaining about. I wouldn't want a perfect hit this far out on the models
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I hope you realize how rare 4"+ snows are in December for your area. Hell NYC struggles to hit freezing until mid-late Dec
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Sounds like you think it'll track inland. Certainly not discounting that given Atlantic warm pool. It's likely why we've had to wait til Jan/Feb to get a significant snow event at the coast lately
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GFS went east this morning. Euro is over amplifying as usual. I think we're in a good spot
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Euro over amplification bias in play. Latest GFS is more east. I like where we're at right now
