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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. Plenty of mild weather coming up after this. Thursday & Friday look excellent with low to mid 70s, weekend is cool but mid next week looks pretty mild at first glance.
  2. I'm only liking this weather for the drought busting capabilities. Looks like we'll be able to salvage a foliage season too after a bleak outlook in early September.
  3. Right at the northern edge of the rain for the past couple hours. If Tuesday works out I could see over 3" easily
  4. Nice event. Well over an inch of rain, hopefully the Euro is right about Tuesday.
  5. With death toll already over 70 I do expect a number between 100-200 total. Damage probably from 60-80 billion though higher numbers wouldn't shock me.
  6. I'll take any rain we can get, we're still in a moderate drought
  7. That is not true at all. My area near New Brunswick hit 100 multiple days New Brunswick and Monmouth (BLM) both officially hit 100 at least once
  8. Well it was still a bit above normal and that's against the warmer norms however the 2nd half was solidly BN.
  9. It's been a very long time since October started this cool, I'm used to seeing 80s every time. On that note we probably will see 80 pre cold front Friday
  10. Stinks that the good stuff will likely be offshore.
  11. Zero, high moving in and trough lifting out. SC/NC landfall guaranteed
  12. Widespread 2-3" would be great. Crappy timing but it is what it is
  13. Correct, the hybrid definition fits since it's also entangled in the trough and lacks a core. I do think if it had a couple days it might try to rebuild a core. It will try though hence the models intensifying it before landfall.
  14. Yeah the surge will be a problem for a big chunk of real estate. I wonder if people are that concerned though since it'll only be a Cat 1.
  15. The complacency and hubris is the killer. Yeah let's just build a city partially underwater. Let's build floating neighborhoods in a known hurricane region. But blocking patterns and warmer sea surface temperatures have elevated surge/flooding. Hurricanes peaking before landfall like Michael was unheard of.
  16. It's 100% correct which is why everyone's so triggered. They don't want to face that reality. But my pushback is that storms like this have happened before so any isolated event needs to be looked at carefully and not lumped into a broader narrative. I think it's honestly more concerning that people continue to build heavily in obvious death trap regions like Cape Coral. How is that crap even legal.
  17. Not enough to really intensify as the core is completely gone. It's still structurally sound and could get a baroclinic assist but anything beyond a high end TS or low end Cat 1 will be impossible
  18. Just like the 10K death toll estimation from Katrina. I do think there will be many deaths but not 100s
  19. That N/NW eyewall is vicious, probably supercharged from the trough.
  20. Next time we need a Cat 6 to finally sink Florida back into the ocean
  21. I still can't get over the hubris of people building in zones where hurricanes happen and where eventual sea level rises will wash developments away. Cape Coral is literally a death trap
  22. As long as they're SE of the eye they're getting the surge.
  23. On radar it looks like it's making a beeline towards Cape Coral & Ft. Myers
  24. Yes but the storm itself was further north. Part of the rain on the 12z was a redevelopment of the remnants of Ian rather than the main system
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