
SnoSki14
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Everything posted by SnoSki14
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Noticeably less humid outside compared to a few hours ago
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Often our heat in September ends with a tropical system.
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2022 Atlantic Hurricane season
SnoSki14 replied to StormchaserChuck!'s topic in Tropical Headquarters
Ridge builds over the east coast so track wise it could head pretty far west. -
Jesus Christ what a death ridge on the models. This is all time record highs stuff and it just sits there for days
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Yes Euro is a furnace. GFS will come around. Endless summer
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Some stray 90 readings are possible next week. LR EPS/GEFS does show some early signs of troughing to end September. Nice taste of fall later this week
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So wouldn't that just continue into winter. Every month has been well above normal if not a top 5 hot month. Also gotta love JB cherry picking that it's gonna be cold for a few days in parts of Europe after record heat/dry for months. Guess that disproves any warming.
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We'd need a very dry winter/spring then a repeat of this summer for serious drought effects.
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CFS looked good
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Big time droughts are very rare here. You'd really need a dry winter/spring before there's a lot of concern. Still the dryness has been impressive particularly on vegetation.
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2022 Atlantic Hurricane season
SnoSki14 replied to StormchaserChuck!'s topic in Tropical Headquarters
I'm honestly glad we're not getting hits right now. We're already going through major economic turmoil, the last thing we need is a major hurricane threat. Still way too early to say it'll last though. Gotta watch the Caribbean/Gulf late September into October. -
Welcome rains over New England
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Most useless WAR ever. Can't even send Earl west. I'm also pretty convinced we go from summer to winter again sometime in early November. Like 80s to 30/40s type of deal.
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Euro south, GFS north. Somewhere in the middle will work.
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The only indicators are earlier sunsets and drought stress trees that look like they're turning.
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The drought is finally ending? Usually when we see one extreme (record-near record dry summer) we go the other pretty quickly nowadays.
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We really need a good prolonged soaker. These quick hits didn't help much. A lot of burnt out, dead trees and bushes now.
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Something's gotta give. Too much energy in the north Atlantic, a severe -NAO, tropical influences as well. GFS OP shows tons of competing influences
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91L hanging around on the Euro off the east coast too.
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Euro keeping it weak which makes it a threat down the line
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It does show what could happen if it stays disorganized, which it looks like it will.
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Crazy, some people are still trying to justify that things weren't so hot. If a top 2-3 or hottest/driest summer on record ain't good enough then what is. The persistence is key when it comes to climate change and that's what we're seeing all over the world, endless heat.
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We can't even get a near normal month with the new averages. Every month is a top 5 warmest month. Kinda wild how fast things are warming when you really think about it. A 0" snowfall is definitely on the cards if this pattern rolls into winter.
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The forecast temperatures are what we would normally see for August. August is the new September clearly.
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I don't see it getting classified tonight as storms can't maintain around center due to shear. Maybe tomorrow which means August will be a shutout