SnoSki14
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Everything posted by SnoSki14
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Too muggy
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Could a piggy still work if there's a good +PNA?
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Mild is fine but I hope it's not a harbinger of a crappy winter. The cooler October & mild November is very Nino like though.
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Clouds & showers will put a lid on maximum temperatures.
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Yeah maybe more dewey upper 50s and 60s. Other models less pessimistic
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Over top ridging on Euro. Probably 70s up into NNE next week I imagine that's near record territory
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If Nov/Dec torch then it might as well be 11/12 imo. If Nov torches but Dec is good then ok. Good chance a bad pattern in Nov/Dec will continue rest of winter. Turnarounds are rare
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60s & 70s for several weeks...sounds great
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At the very least it might bring some change to this dull pattern. And I don't think the differences are as drastic as one might think with NJ vs SNE especially northern NJ. NW NJ can easily be snowier & colder than eastern portions of SNE.
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Raindancewx feels the same and he's a great forecaster
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West looks like garbage already. Low heights from Alaska to the entire west coast If that locks in expect pacific puke yet again so not feeling very optimistic
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And he's been more right than wrong. The last decade+ has been very warm and these Ninas produce more of the same each season.
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Those positive anomalies are gonna get wiped out over next 2 weeks. The only positive is the possibility of an east based Nina.
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GFS with not so clean ridging. Sneaky soaker on tap later this weekend? Sucks we don't have a late season hurricane, would've been a nice pattern for it
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Wouldn't CC lead to less extreme weather given weather is a combination of gradients and temperature extremes. If the whole world warms then things should be more uniform.
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33F near New Brunswick
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I think 1995 was the last time every fall/winter month was below normal
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Euro/GFS trying to create a closed low beneath the building ridge. Wonder if that signal gets stronger as we get closer.
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Expecting a freeze tonight. No reason why cold won't over perform with light winds, clear skies & dry air mass.
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Looks like a squall line might push through this evening ahead of the front Good shear and lapse rates plus more sunshine than forecast so some storms are possible
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I'd settle for a front-ender. Cold & snowy Nov/Dec then it could torch after the new year or up til mid Jan the latest. That's usually the typical Nina pattern after all.
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That's not how that works If the last few years repeat then expect this warmth to lock in for winter. I highly doubt this will just be some passing mild airmass
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Standard makes a lot more sense. Oh boo hoo it gets dark early in winter, I'd rather have that than dark mornings. Of course the bill was proposed by a Florida senator We also tried this in the 70s with disastrous results
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Gee I wonder what Joe Bastardi is predicting this season
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As far as I know there are no prospects to push this bill forward. And if anything were to happen it wouldn't go into effect until 2024
