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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. SnoSki14
    Down to 19 or nearing a 40F drop on the day
  2. SnoSki14
    Getting some good gusts now with CAA. Plenty of 35-40+ readings Down to 27F, a nice 30 degree drop from early this morning.
  3. SnoSki14
    Easy explanation to crappy pattern. It's not enough anymore that NAO/AO is very negative. We need a strong PNA due to warmer SSTs causing stronger ridging east of New England and more south based blocks. This is more true for 1st half of winter. This is why Decembers have sucked over the last 10-12 years and why Jan-March have seen better patterns.
  4. SnoSki14
    That was the forecast. What else did you expect. The bigger story was the cold temps and major temperature drops & wind chills due to strong winds
  5. SnoSki14
    NAO block was too far south, which allowed it to link with SE ridge at times and there wasn't much of a PNA to counteract it. That's why this month sucked. Simple explanation A good PNA ridge is becoming a most for winter particularly in December
  6. SnoSki14
    Down to 30F. Very gusty
  7. SnoSki14
    Sun's out now. Down to freezing. Gusty
  8. SnoSki14
    Snow now coming in near Somerset
  9. SnoSki14
    Temperatures dropping here in Somerset. Down to 39
  10. SnoSki14
    Probably one of the highlights of the system. The flash freeze could work out Lots of ponding too
  11. SnoSki14
    Looks like a nice squall line to our west
  12. SnoSki14
    It's not done yet and just because you didn't experience anything major doesn't mean it's not significant. A lot of places are seeing major coastal flooding right now. A lot of places have already had 50+ gusts. The temperature drop will be very significant. From mid to upper 50s to single digits with wind-chills in the -10 to -15 range.
  13. SnoSki14
    Just bad timing with the new moon and peak surge. Some spots worse than Irene
  14. SnoSki14
    We hit 57F today and if the forecast stays on track we could drop to 10 or lower within 24hrs so a 45+ drop which would rival records.
  15. SnoSki14
    Yea I noticed the winds pick up in the last hour. Makes sense with warm sector punching in.
  16. SnoSki14
    I don't think many are ready for subzero wind-chills tomorrow because it's really gonna suck. That wind will cut through like a knife
  17. SnoSki14
    I notice this happens during strong CAD, onshore flow in the spring/early summer & with arctic fronts otherwise temps will usually be warmer than forecast
  18. SnoSki14
    Decent chance we stay in the teens on Saturday
  19. SnoSki14
    Lol it barely snowed in the 80s
  20. SnoSki14
    Not great if the strong winds verify.
  21. SnoSki14
    I doubt it stays there very long. This is not 2011/12 where it's parked all winter. The pessimism is a little much. If it's a ratter then so be it but declaring winter over when it barely started is silly imo.
  22. SnoSki14
    Yeah the impact this time will be significantly worse than their previous lake effect storm. It's much colder, winds will be ferocious and there's even lake flooding expected.
  23. SnoSki14
    I think that's ridiculously premature to declare. Most of our snow comes from a couple storms which is very possible Jan 15 - March 30. We'll know by mid Jan what the future might bring and if it looks shitty with no improvement in sight then I'll give it to you.
  24. SnoSki14
    Despite the very cold anomalies coming, I actually think the warm anomalies for Dec 30 - Jan 10 will be even greater. I think one or two days could even make a run at 70+
  25. SnoSki14
    I think most places will gust to 45-50mph fairly easily & frequently But higher localized gusts up to 60 mph are also possible probably near the coast and ahead of the arctic front. That could be a problem given 1-3" of rain could fall ahead of the winds. We even have Flood Watches up. Models also hint at flash freezes with moisture still present as temps quickly dive below freezing.
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