SnoSki14
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Everything posted by SnoSki14
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Globals don't matter much this close. Now it's about the short term models. The RAP, the HRRR, the NAM, even the SREFS.
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Mesos ramping up which is good
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Switching to mesos soon. That's where the real intricacies will lie. An explosive storm like this will want to tuck further west. Nam might be closer than we think
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Feels like the type of system where amounts will keep going up until game time
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HRRR has like 6+ hours of legit blizzard conditions for everyone very far inland. So crazy if that verifies.
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Lol dude is still mad his area got skunked with the Jan storm
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That's where the mesos come in. Globals can miss these slight variations
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If the Nam verifies we're all getting a blizzard and there will be major coastal flooding. Strong winds well inland
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Mesos will have more weight than globals soon. This is a very extreme storm. A sub 970 storm south of LI is no joke
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The HRRR is a blizzard. Crazy strong winds covering all of Jersey
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Mt Holly covered its bases well here. 8-16 forecast, takes care of the Euro's lower tier and touch bases of GFS/NAM.
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How accurate is this that far out?
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Yes please. Being in New Brunswick I can afford some NW ticks.
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Euro never liked this storm.
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It's been back and forth a lot with this. But of course a further east track is definitely possible
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That looks like pure trash
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Looked like garbage but it is DT so yeah
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I don't buy the lighter precip with an intensifying storm. That seems to be a big difference between the snowier models vs the less snowy ones
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Someone's getting 3-4"+ rates and thundersnow. The frontogenesis is ridiculous
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I'm looking at 18hrs out and I can assure it won't lol
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The NWS & Mt. Holly have a lot of updating to do tomorrow.
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I remember Tombo. Those play by plays of Boxing Day were awesome
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They will be
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Feel quite good being in central NJ. The trend from the Nam has been northward ticks. This could put the jackpot zone closer to this area and likely closer to NYC as well.
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Parts of Southern NJ pushing 3 feet. That's nuts
