SnoSki14

Not good for much more than a light snowfall

You'd need a lot of work still for the northeast to benefit. Maybe clippers and some SWFEs for now

I don't see the NAO block linking up with a SE ridge primarily because the main ridge is parked in south central US. However the Pacific jet will continue to crash into the west due to lack of any PNA or ridging out west trying to slow that down. So the northeast at best with get clipped by some clipper like systems or maybe even overrunning as shortwaves ride the central US ridge.

We need to stop comparing today to 35+ year old analogs. The climate has changed drastically. There are way too many variables in play today vs then.

I looked forward to his expertise the most so 100 percent agree!

9 out of 10 times he would've been right but not today.

Northeast is on the margins with expansive ridge located south central US rest of December. Stronger Arctic blocking would make a big difference as gradient patterns like this can be very active

That report tracks. Easily between 4-5" right now in Somerset and still coming down nicely. 6" is more probable. Much wetter snow than I expected

We lucked out once otherwise my point stands. We go back to Great lakes tracks after this and for the rest of the month.

Enjoy the snow because the rest of the month looks rather mild and wet. Friday's storm looks quite potent, strong rain/wind potential Maybe signs things turn around late December.

4-5" looks spot on right now. South Central Jersey will get the enhanced rates for a longer period. Some 6-8" amounts likely there.

This was expected

I wouldn't declare victory over 1 modest snow event. We've been mostly shut out for the past 7-8 years outside a couple snow events.

38/26 in Somerset. Perfectly fine for snow. Advisory bumped us up to 3-5"

HRRR looking quite aggressive. Supports what HREF is putting out.