SnoSki14

Multiple 100+ readings in Phoenix likely this March...that's nuts.

Will still be quite chilly especially after the warmup. Crazy heat SW US. Phoenix could have multiple 100+ readings and even Vegas approaching 100 in March, which is nuts. That's like us seeing 90s

The mid March period has some merit.

Near 80F is like late summer warmth with the nearly September sun angle Although the NAM shows some very strong sea breezes really cooling the coast down.

No matter how big or hardy the pack seems, it doesn't take much for complete eradication in March

A Somerset, NJ BN Temperatures DJF Prolonged snow cover 2 Major Snowstorms + multiple clipper systems Ice build up on lakes/rivers On par with 13/14 and 14/15 and very close to 02/03 & 09/10 The only thing that kept it from an A+ was seasonal snow amounts were less than the stellar years like 10/11. Also 1st big storm had a bit too much sleet for my liking.

I'll think it'll warm up but ridging stays west and we'll be more prone to BDCFs. The month doesn't scream torch to me

GEFS catching up to EPS MJO moving into phase 8. Trough could trend stronger though without any blocking may be transient.

It's a short cool window. With AO staying positive, cool downs can't last

Next week will feel like a different world until reality comes back of course

Ends Sunday

-AO for sure, NAO I'm not as concerned about. What would be helpful is a list of all 4"+ NYC March-April storms and which teleconnections were present to get a better idea of what you'd need for late season snow.

There's no mechanism for that. AO needs to go negative and I don't see that. Colder air is WPO driven with PV on our side of the globe. Probably a lot of lakes cutters, active start to severe weather season

Oh it's definitely happening. Records will be shattered

Based off a LR OP run?