SnoSki14

I looked forward to his expertise the most so 100 percent agree!

9 out of 10 times he would've been right but not today.

Northeast is on the margins with expansive ridge located south central US rest of December. Stronger Arctic blocking would make a big difference as gradient patterns like this can be very active

That report tracks. Easily between 4-5" right now in Somerset and still coming down nicely. 6" is more probable. Much wetter snow than I expected

We lucked out once otherwise my point stands. We go back to Great lakes tracks after this and for the rest of the month.

Enjoy the snow because the rest of the month looks rather mild and wet. Friday's storm looks quite potent, strong rain/wind potential Maybe signs things turn around late December.

4-5" looks spot on right now. South Central Jersey will get the enhanced rates for a longer period. Some 6-8" amounts likely there.

This was expected

I wouldn't declare victory over 1 modest snow event. We've been mostly shut out for the past 7-8 years outside a couple snow events.

38/26 in Somerset. Perfectly fine for snow. Advisory bumped us up to 3-5"

HRRR looking quite aggressive. Supports what HREF is putting out.

It'll be interesting to see if that applies again but generally that has seemed to work out well. The higher end 4-5" totals will need to verify though

Definitely a high end advisory event looking more likely but only local spots hit warning criteria.

Strong gradient like pattern. Some models showing Arctic ridging. If the gradient can slip south every now and then for latter Dec and Jan then it could get interesting. I'd feel better being north though

This mornings Nam got better compared to 0z. Think 3-5" looking better and better. Some areas may even approach 6" in South Central NJ.