SnoSki14

It's mostly torchy. It'll cool off at times but signal is very warm. There's no 2018 style comeback coming

Huge differences in the shaded vs sun zones here. Shaded spots still have several inches while sun spots it's mostly grass.

Surprised 02-03 isn't in the top 20. It definitely is for the New Brunswick area.

And it wasn't even that warm. Plus no rain either. Just the power of the sun

It's possible but I'd be surprised if April is warm, maybe by us near NYC but not further north.

Yeah I wouldn't doubt a repeat of winter in the east. These patterns can lock in for a long time.

Take a look at the 5 day EPS anomalies. Massive blowtorch signal. 2012 type stuff Anyone that thinks it's just a 1-2 day warmup is fooling themselves That being said. I do think it'll turn a lot colder end of March especially the last week. I also think March will have the warmest anomalies of the year. April-May will be a lot colder and even BN

If you think about how warm the west has been and we're getting this type of ridge here, it'll be much warmer than you expect. 80+ likely imo

What a blowtorch coming up though. 70s likely

It screams backdooring even down to Jersey.

There's definitely a strong backdooring risk though. SSTs are very cold

There's still a balance in play it's just that warmth will win out in most cases. And occasionally you get very anomalous events like the freezing temps in South Florida.

Only a matter of time before this region sees that. The northeast has been mostly shielded from this.

Models are cooking us in March. 70s widespread

Nah unless it's some monster March storm most are ready for spring.