SnoSki14

Weather.com for my region had 59 for Tuesday. Now it's 57 and 56 on Wednesday. If it's sunny we'll definitely over perform and I think 60F is doable. Almost March, sun's getting stronger.

Coming week looks nice and toasty, flirting with 60F on Tuesday. Very dry however, that's not great. Following week looks a lot wetter though.

Does warming lead to greater average winds. I would think a warmer world would actually lead to more stability (smaller gradients, temperature differences).

Crazy seeing Norfolk, VA under a warning for 5-10" while we struggle to get anything more than a 2-3" storm all winter. Even crazier when parts of Louisiana had a foot of snow earlier

If those fantasy model runs were correct this year then I'd be trapped in my house right now due to 15' of snow outside.

Euro/CMC show nothing. GFS backed down. It'll either be rain or cold/dry. EPS is warmer than GEFS to start March, I hope it's correct. Screw this winter, give me spring please.

+PNA is less favorable for snow chances by this time due to changing wavelengths.

Lol yeah ok. More pretty maps

Lol sure Jan

But you're also fighting accelerating CC warming, which in itself is disrupting typical patterns. This winter failed to produce due to the northern stream yet again despite seemingly favorable conditions (strongly negative AO, favorable MJO, +PNA)

Um it's 730AM?

It'll probably be closer to normal. And at this time of year the sun is strong enough so temps often over perform when it's sunny.

I think we're done outside of a nuisance event. The SE has a better chance of another snowstorm than we do.

The only thing worse would be a chilly March after a very disappointing winter. Hopefully the warmer guidance is right

I disagree. Pattern definitely supported a threat but the indices don't mean as much as they used to. The northern stream is the killer and it has been for years now. A strongly negative -AO and MJO phase 8 would've guaranteed a storm in the past. However I'm tired of all the hype and pretty maps everyone posts. Anyone can hype up a day 10 threat, but where's the results. Stick with 3 days or less and you won't be disappointed.