SnoSki14
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About SnoSki14
- Currently Viewing Topic: Winter Storm Threat Feb 22-24th
- Birthday 08/10/1988
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I still can't believe the GFS OP pulled this off.
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Let's keep our expectations in check though. Remember NAM struggles mightily beyond 36-48hrs, we're just entering its more accurate range.
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Correct. Whatever hundredths of QPF we lose to a mix won't matter once the storm gets going.
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Um no lol
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Well when you keep weening out over every storm eventually you'll be right.
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Good point. Imagine the panic tomorrow if warnings go up for 12-18"+
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Is the public really aware of this. I know they generally expect snow just from talking to people but I feel the hype has been far less than the Jan storm.
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If it follows that playback then amounts will keep going up until start time
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I saw that and was in awe. I don't recall seeing a 60-72 hour ensemble prog that strong. The true scope of what's unfolding may not even be apparent yet if that's correct.
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Because it's not done trending yet.
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It tends to be more suppressed in general. Odd outputs sometimes. I remember with the Jan storm it kept spewing 3-4" totals over NYC and into my region too vs the 10"+ amounts we got.
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Having a 3 day ensemble mean have a 976 low is crazy.
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GEFS look really good
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If only it started tomorrow afternoon. Another harrowing day of model runs before the whole picture comes together
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I know we always worry about could go wrong but what if the storm is still trending towards a bullseye.
