SnoSki14
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About SnoSki14
- Birthday 08/10/1988
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Colder airmass to start so yes I agree though similar setup to Tuesday with high escaping. Will depend on storm track Unfortunately think majority of snows occurs NW of our region. SNE and north will do really well. Borderline for NYC
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Probably some white rain at the onset, maybe even a little grass accumulation at best but will all turn to rain with temps near 40F.
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It's probably the result of the split forcing in the Pacific. EPS/GEPS with the MJO 8 like pattern while GEFS loops around.
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GEFS still looks like trash LR
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GEFS still the outlier with trough out west leading to much warmer conditions east & ridging. Bet snowman loves that
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We'd probably get a solid storm if airmass was a little colder. Pretty nice track actually
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High is moving out, antecedent airmass isn't cold enough. Track won't help. You need to be well N&W or elevated
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You're getting white rain at best, surface temps are way too warm Probably have to wait til mid Dec for a light to moderate event. Seems likely we'll get something with coming pattern
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First Winter Storm to kickoff 2025-26 Winter season
SnoSki14 replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
For SNE and north sure, not down here. -
Probably more likely than normal that we see some snow. Very volatile weather pattern though
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This set-up would probably work in January with a colder antecedent air mass. Track isn't bad. Fast flow doesn't allow low to amp up and move inland.
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You aren't getting snow in the city next week. High is retreating, low will cut west. Not enough cold out ahead of it either. It's a lost cause
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On the bright side today shows the MJO getting to phase 8, which reflects the early snow threats to our N/W zones
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Favorable snow pattern for midwest/lakes and C/N New England. Lean towards cooler than normal further south but likely too warm for snow due to unfavorable storm track.
