SnoSki14

The warm anomalies are so much more expansive and anomalous compared to the colder ones.

Some nice potential from off hour gfs op. A bit suppressed but it's nice to see snowy solutions showing. Best to take it one day at a time though otherwise you'll drive yourself nuts.

EPS looks really good Jan 5 onward.

I'm very cautious about a huge snowy pattern but even I recognize this post as BS. How in the world do the ensembles look like trash 240+ If anything they're showing a rising PNA ridge. I think this post is just as deluded as the social media weenie blizzard posts from JB The 12z EPS looks pretty awesome to me actually. There's some big dog potential second week of Jan.

We've heard all that before. One day at a time

If I had an inch for every "potential" in the last decade my house would be buried under 30 feet of snow drifts. Latest EPS looks really good though, not gonna lie

GFS wasn't abysmal. It just didn't handle the warm layers properly which it never does. That's where the Nam comes in.

I wonder if ocean effect can ever produce a real snowstorm (6"+) in this region

Which means we should get 30-40"+ for the season

That's a common snowy time frame too.

Interesting to see if that works out. Pattern does have potential heading forward

So the no 4" streak is officially over then

Because it's not linear or evenly spread out plus it's weather vs climate. Look at the grand scope and you'll see warmth dominate over both a larger area and time frame. For example despite December being cold in the northeast US it absolutely torched for 2/3 of the country with record breaking all time December warmth in many spots.

So according to the stats of a Nina December, the rest of winter should be pretty good.

For everyone that busted, it's all gonna get washed away in a couple days anyway.