SnoSki14
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Warmth isn't evenly distributed. Several LR models have the US as the coldest anomaly on earth while the rest of the planet torches. It all depends on where the ridges set up. Despite that you can never go wrong with saying it'll be an AN winter temperature wise in today's AGW era.
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It already has. NYC used to have their climate only a few decades ago. Now they have what we did.
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Yes
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Not behaving like any of the other strong Ninos so anyone thinking this winter will be a repeat of those strong Nino years needs to think twice
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Couple of MCS complexes look to move through. One in east PA will clip us over next couple hours with much more significant one in the evening
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It was wild earlier, looked like a microburst
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Strong Bermuda High pattern with very high dews. We may not see widespread rain but those that get hit will get hit hard.
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
SnoSki14 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Well you're not getting a +PDO so I guess we'll all be tanning in mid January -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
SnoSki14 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
A +PDO coupled with a super Nino is just 97/98. A -PDO could cause deconstructive interference which makes the pattern much more variable. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
SnoSki14 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
The 23/24 Nino was supposed to be very favorable for snows but it ended up being one the warmest/least snowiest. ENSO is still just one factor -
There's zero indication that the wet pattern will end. In fact the super Nino guarantees a stormy pattern.
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
SnoSki14 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I don't know how true that is but I don't believe it's going to be a wall to wall torch with very low snows. I think this winter will be highly variable and the back half will generate at least 1 major snowstorm for the east. -
Looks more high dew type stuff than 95+ heat.
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Still nearly zilch near New Brunswick
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For an organized system like this I'm surprised it's not that widespread. I'll see what the stuff in PA does though

