salbers

Also - trying to get more colorful on the IR satellite over the past 24 minutes: https://col.st/3Kpaw

Looks like a slow motion to the N on the edge of this CRP radar display:

At least on IR satellite the shape resembles having an eye: https://col.st/Y7YNB

Convective spiral bands trying to develop to slowly surround the center, on 1-minute visible satellite: https://col.st/GoDgr

1-minute visible imagery showing convection firing close to the circulation center: https://col.st/WYbsy

1-minute visible imagery: https://col.st/zFFam

Live camera in New Mexico at night, along with sky simulation: https://stevealbers.net/allsky/allsky_las.html las_2307003.mp4

Live Sky simulations and verifying cameras from three locations: CU-Boulder: https://stevealbers.net/allsky/allsky_atoc.html Golden Colorado: https://stevealbers.net/allsky/allsky_nrel.html Dark Sky New Mexico: https://stevealbers.net/allsky/allsky_las.html nrel_2307016.mp4

Here is a sky simulation of an LES cloud model using a visualization package I developed. The cloud model data at 40m resolution is from the University of Connecticut. The imagery is designed to be photo-realistic (matching human color perception) and physically based. http://stevealbers.net/allsky/cases/les/les_15deg_cyl.mp4 (fly through) http://stevealbers.net/ (home page) https://cfd.engr.uconn.edu/data/ (UConn cloud data) Steve

Yes a radar indicated tornado warning heading towards Slidell.

Eye is almost closed now on IR, yet the cirrus is translucent enough to still look better on the visible satellite.

Some cirrus spilling over the eye in IR satellite, though still looks strong in visible. https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=subregional-E_Gulf_Coast-14-24-1-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined

Grand Isle Current Tide: https://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/waterlevels.html?id=8761724

Those hot towers are really zipping around the north side of the eye the past few minutes.

Current Mesoscale Sector visible loop (click URL for latest) https://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis/online/loop.asp?data_folder=goes-16/mesoscale_01_band_02_sector_05&width=1000&height=1000&number_of_images_to_display=40&loop_speed_ms=80

More eyewall development - an inside view:

Thanks Tip - the direct link is here where you can save the images as an animated GIF. It's from the mesoscale goes16 sector, band 2, 1 minute time interval. The website is from CIRA/RAMMB in Ft. Collins where they have lots of good satellite stuff. https://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis/online/loop.asp?data_folder=goes-16/mesoscale_02_band_02_sector_02&width=1000&height=1000&number_of_images_to_display=40&loop_speed_ms=80 Other related links: https://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis/online/goes-16.asp https://rammb-slider.cira.colostate.edu/?sat=goes-16&sec=mesoscale_02&x=1000&y=1000&z=0&angle=0&im=12&ts=1&st=0&et=0&speed=130&motion=loop&maps[borders]=white&lat=0&p[0]=band_02&opacity[0]=1&pause=0&slider=-1&hide_controls=0&mouse_draw=0&follow_feature=0&follow_hide=0&s=rammb-slider&draw_color=FFD700&draw_width=6

Each sequence looks better with a developing eye:

A closer animated view - trying to wrap around a little:

Here is some of that convection closer to the center. Animation: https://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis/online/loop.asp?data_folder=goes-16/mesoscale_02_band_02_sector_02&width=1000&height=1000&number_of_images_to_display=40&loop_speed_ms=80

This advisory does have 195mph... WTPN31 PGTW 312100 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SUPER TYPHOON 22W (GONI) WARNING NR 016// RMKS/ 1. SUPER TYPHOON 22W (GONI) WARNING NR 016 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 311800Z --- NEAR 13.7N 125.1E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 010 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 170 KT, GUSTS 205 KT

I only see Signal #4 on their website 2am bulletin linked here: http://pubfiles.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/tamss/weather/bulletin/SWB%2312.pdf However they did post a SIgnal #5 on Twitter: https://twitter.com/dost_pagasa/status/1322612280987541504

Here is some more live force-13 coverage:

Is there a link where Signal #5 has been issued? I haven't seen this yet.