Lightning

Wow, awesome!! Would have love to get something like that. Of course it helps that my backyard can't flood, well unless Noah type rains occur.

Okay but really, I don't see a conversation about an Arctic air intrusion into this region in the next 10 days. No one said it was no longer going to be mild or warm. Seems logical to understand the pattern change being discussed is in reference to the fact it has been extremely dry with endless wall to wall sunshine and at least for the next few days we have a pattern with more storms and precipitation falling from the sky then most have seen in 2-3 months.

This is the time of year the jetstream wavelength begins to change. This is why there are times a great pattern can fizzle to a crappy one and visa versa when not much else seems to change. I do like it getting wetter as wetter ground seems to help. Harry (occasional poster who will come around as winter gets going) is very big on wet grounds and storm tracks during winter. Based on his points I do tend to agree there are time storms tracks are influnced by wetter grounds. Obviously there is a lot more to it, many other factors can change that will definitely influence the teleconnections and patterns. I know you have recently moved to this area. Hope your expectation is not for November to be an amazing winter month, you will be disappointed. Most Novembers in my 50+ years in the the Great Lakes have about a week of winter like weather and 3 weeks of mild weather fall weather (yes some with occasional very warm days is nothing new).

I put my outdoor lights up last weekend (due to my schedule). I typically turn them on Thanksgiving week.

It really looks like we are finally seeing the breakdown of the pattern we have been stuck in since August. Pacific is now throwing a lot of big storms into Alaska area over the next 10 days or so. It is going to take awhile for it to lock into anything desirable here until some level blocking in that area can get established. Let's just hope any blocking is positioned well for us to get fun winter weather.

I like the sound of this for you: Really hoping to hear some great reports from you later today into tonight!!!

3 days in a row of 30-40MPH wind gusts expected. This will help remove many of the leaves from the trees. Oaks and Norway Maples, as usual, will be the trees with the last leaves standing!!

The wall to wall sunshine has been amazing and enjoyable for sure. Definitely looking forward to it becoming more active. It was very nice hearing rain this morning. Plus I am ready to be done with the bugs/beetles; while they have decreased, I want them gone!!

Couple boomers this morning

Didn't get anything exciting here but then again I was never expecting anything exciting Especially considering no model was shows much of anything anyways.

I was in the Keweenaw during that storm and the winds being like tropic storm conditions. If I recall correctly the LP went right over Houghton. I also remember being very jealous of the Duluth area's snowfall!!!

The night of the 12th I tried but there were a few contrails all in that area. Don't know if I saw it or not After that it was cloudy until the past couple nights in which I keep being a bit to late (the moon was too bright). Gonna try again tonight.

We have a lot of pockets in MI that temps vary easily. I live in one of the cooler areas in SE MI. 10 miles/16 kms from my house typically is 3-5 degrees warmer.

Ignore feature works great

There might be some hope if this holds:

Hey Josh @michsnowfreak, Do you know what is the sunniest fall (% clear)? You are much better at stats than I around here! We have got to be close if not in the lead!! This September and August combo so far has been incredible.

If it isn't going to storm then this is perfect for October for MBY:

I love all the model shows!!! Used to annoy me but now I look forward to the craziness.

Enjoy! Getting a little over here too from Huron.

1.5" total for the weekend. Looks like we are going back to a bit of dry pattern after today (don't mind in October). Hopefully get a freeze one of the next couple mornings.

Today I surpassed 1" total for this event. This is the most rain I have seen fall from the sky since driving August 5 from North Dakota, Minnesota to La Cross WI.

While the Thunder has been south of here. We have had a steady rain now for a couple hours. I haven't seen something like this since early August while in La Crosse WI.

Looking pretty good for at least some rain around here tonight. Nice storms over LM right now. Hopefully they don't drop just to my south (something that happens commonly).

We have been viewing them here. Not as strong as the May event so far. Very glad I live out in the boonies so we can star gaze. EDIT: Just had a really nice wave of Aurora go through with some great colors. Especially lots of reds.

Aurora looking very probable tonight!!!