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Lightning

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Everything posted by Lightning

  1. Lightning
    The bust potential is huge for many!!
  2. Lightning
    The January storm, the models had a bit of a SE trend within 24 but reality didn't follow suit as the strong storms tend to be a bit on the northern side of guidance. But yeah I would also like to limit changes/trends at this point
  3. Lightning
    4ish sounds about right.
  4. Lightning
    They did but the map is not updated for some reason.
  5. Lightning
    Only Bay and Midland are WWA. All others are WSW. Interesting
  6. Lightning
    They included Monroe
  7. Lightning
    It would be great to stay below freezing most of the event. I really hope we get some solid 2"+ rates.
  8. Lightning
    Yeah the 0Z HRRR is a bit more juicy in MI
  9. Lightning
    Do you even know where DTX is on that map?
  10. Lightning
    How does the Brazilian model look??
  11. Lightning
    My point and click is at 10"
  12. Lightning
    131
  13. Lightning
    I like that the pattern is remaining active. Possibilities are the key
  14. Lightning
    Those are the best busts!!
  15. Lightning
    Having totally accurate models 3 or even 5 days out would be great; however; a weather board like this would become boring. Part of what make the weather the fun to me is all the unknowns, clown maps, disappointments and triumphs.
  16. Lightning
    It is soo true with this one!!
  17. Lightning
    The one thing I like about this storm is the potential for few good hours of 2"/hour rates.
  18. Lightning
    Looking at the dynamics with this storm I believe heavier rates will be there! Plus heavy wet snows seems to be the norm this winter here.
  19. Lightning
    Baby steps.
  20. Lightning
    It is obvious that the excitement of this storm is greatly diminishing in this thread.
  21. Lightning
    received sleet this morning so this is my 3rd system with sleet in 7 days
  22. Lightning
    One thing to consider is that the biases of each model used to be known very well by many. In the past 10 or so years the models get updated more frequently and the biases are just not as well known. Just as you begin to learn a model biases nowadays it seems to get updated.
  23. Lightning
    The track is most important IMO. Precip will typically fall into place.
  24. Lightning
    If we don't get a few porn runs than it wouldn't be a good model
  25. Lightning
    Lock it now!!
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