Lightning

I would love to have a fun Severe Weather season; we'll see!

Very interesting situation for you coming up for March as Superior is WIDE open. Big storm and followed by lots of LES. Could be good times!!

It will be interesting to see how this sets up. I would not be surprised if there is a 4-6" narrow path. Mostly 1-2" otherwise.

I agree with 86% so far the biggest knock on this the warmth. Ski conditions were miserable on the local hills. It's pretty amazing how many positives this winter has had considered how above normal the temps have been.

Wow. Beautiful morning here good 2" of snow that I wasn't expecting

That's the spirit

Agreed as I just love lightning streaks, thunder and heavy rain. Damaging winds and hail (unless pea sized or less) are not necessary for me!!

Awesome. You definitely did better then MBY We got about 4" but the March sun angle has done it's damage quickly. All I had to do is walk on my asphalt slightly exposing the blacktop and within 2-3 hours the driveway snow turned into water . I did have to shovel other areas with concrete though.

Wouldn't mind repeating 2021 as it was one of my best thunderstorm filled summer.

Well at least we don't have to shovel

Same thing happens when there are nocturnal t-storms that develop in IA/WI and coming in from the west like this (we get the remnants). They just tend to peak to our west and as the continue to move into and drier and more stable environment it loses the intensity it used to have. This is why I did not have high expectations for this event. If the much deeper low pressure model solutions (995-1000mb), from 3-5 days would have occurred, then it would have been much better for us as the dynamics would have helped overcome the drier/stable environment much better.

What did you get with the prolonged Christmas event? We had good 8" on the ground on Christmas day (of course it was very windy so 4"-12" spread with 2-3' drifts). Update on this storm IMBY: Took my dog for a walk around 7AM and the flake size increased significantly (dime => quarter) so now we have over 3". It was an awesome hour dog walk in the best snowfall rates here. Flake size is dropping off now. So it looks like end up with 4" maybe a bit more. Good enough for me as this means this winter I am now right about average for snowfall.

1.5" here so far with 2-3" call looking good for MBY as radar is slowly decreasing in intensity. I am glad I didn't have high expectations with this system as many recent model runs had it peaking west of here. I am good with GRR area getting the higher totals.

For some reason I am not expecting much out of this storm. My guess is 2-3" for MBY.

Awesome. Glad to hear you getting a better storm!!!

Is this your biggest event for the winter?

Best advisory ever for these type of systems!!

He knows

Sorry but the general public is mostly laughing at the weather channel which forecast changes every 6 hours based off the GFS and you know it. Most of the public uses weather.com and NOT weather.gov to get there weather information. NWS does a hell of a good job!!

I am kind of the opposite in that I would move to the UP / Keweenaw before moving to San Diego. If I was to move to to the SW I would choose Flagstaff AZ: lots of Sun, lots of snow, occasional monsoonal t-storms and not very hot.

Many warm fronts get hung up around the MI boarder due to the Great Lakes. Indiana and Ohio will be 70s+ yet 40s/50s IMBY.

March with a -NAO + -AO so some suppression is not unexpected.

When I got home they said they got the same as you mentioned. Got lucky to be in work today as normal I don't go in on Mondays

I am in Farmington MI right now for work. Snow flakes are monsters at 2-3" diameter snow flakes.

If it continues to be active with big storms then no problem, let's do it. If it is just going to be cold suppression then forgetaboutit!!