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tarheelwx

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Everything posted by tarheelwx

  1. tarheelwx
    Leaving for Boone area now with my wife. Can anyone recommend a nice hotel or B&B with good NW flow snow and a hot tub. Something within 45 minutes of Boone would be preferable. thanks TW
  2. tarheelwx
    North GA and SC Upstate in the sweet spot! TW
  3. tarheelwx
    Steady snow in Colfax.
  4. tarheelwx
    There have been a few small flakes in Colfax. TW
  5. tarheelwx
    This ends at 12z Friday. Much of the storm on the NAM occurred after this time. Is there anything on the 18z Euro after 12z Friday? TW
  6. tarheelwx
    Canadian on board - more or less. TW
  7. tarheelwx
    March 28, 1984. A series of tornadoes from Newberry to Ahoskie left 42 dead in NC. Multiple F3 and F4's. TW
  8. tarheelwx
    Not sure I'm buying #1. TW
  9. tarheelwx
    That would put me above average for winter if it happened. TW
  10. tarheelwx
    I’d rather have this than drought. TW
  11. tarheelwx
    Aleet Aleet!!!
  12. tarheelwx
    I'm not drinking the cool aid on this one. I'd anticipate a cold rain based on few other models showing it. As for the NAM, the hp looks to be sliding out to me. One other thing, models tend to over sensationalize big ZR events from the standpoint that such heavy rates are very difficult to freeze on contact. Just my 2 cents. TW
  13. tarheelwx
    I’m from the SE forum, but supposed to fly into Portland Monday evening at 10:30. What’s the odds on flight arrival issues into PMW Monday evening tW
  14. tarheelwx
    Check out the 12z clown map. Something to keep in mind with later threats. TW
  15. tarheelwx
    00z NAM and 00z RGEM both bring a lot of precip inland on Saturday into NC, while a very strong 1039'ish HP drops into the lakes and NE. It's at least interesting. TW
  16. tarheelwx
    Look for a mild December. Just hope it breaks back cold after that. TW
  17. tarheelwx
    Usually, snow in November leads to a warmer winter...... if history is an indicator. TW
  18. tarheelwx
    Just hoping the warm holds through November and flips in early December. TW
  19. tarheelwx
    I think the GFS rolls almost everything out to sea at this range. At least anything near the Bahamas or Southeast coast. TW
  20. tarheelwx
    So it mostly shows an out to sea solution? TW
  21. tarheelwx
    Cold November’s always seem to lead to disappointment for the season. They always seem to flip in December and we never get into a decent pattern in the heart of Winter.
  22. tarheelwx
    3km followed suit with ice storm over n &w NC. Mostly north and west of 64/85.
  23. tarheelwx
    I agree it did well, but so did most other models. Didn’t the FV3 show some of the further south solutions that raised hopes for S NC down into SC? TW
  24. tarheelwx
    With its performance beyond 5 days, it is ludicrous to think you’d replace any model with the FV3. It has repeatedly shown big storms for central NC in the 6-14 range that the others have not shown for the most part. Maybe I’m just judging my mby, but it’s been terrible. Way too cold with cold and wintry weather. Has it performed better elsewhere? TW
  25. tarheelwx
    Guys, it has done this multiple times this winter and been nowhere close. Hard to believe we’d replace a model with this one. Having said that, I hope this is where it redeems itself. TW
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