tarheelwx

Poured snow for about 3 minutes in western Davie county just a bit ago. TW

12z GFS not showing any snow/ice, but it does put a 1027 to 1030 high in a pretty prime spot. I'd look for things to trend colder at the surface. In the last 3 cycles, GSO has gone from 57 to 51 to 37 late afternoon Sunday. Quite the change. TW

Keep that high over the northeast/new england and I suspect the cold air will show up. Assuming that look is correct or even improves a bit, I'd expect more ice to start showing up. TW

06z Euro also showed some significant ice on the southern edge. I woudn't overlook the ice potential on this one in Cad areas. TW

As Tom Landry used to say, “Act like you’ve been there”. TW

Your forecast overall seems about right. Hopefully we can go on the upper end or a little higher. TW

Euro and Euro AI seem generally aligned at this stage. TW

NAM was very consistent calling out the drier solution last weekend. I wouldn't discount it totally. Actually it seems very logical to me. Not agreeing, just saying it has merit. TW

Maybe the ULL cranks and then energy transfers offshore. Not saying it’s right but I suspect that’s what it’s showing. TW

If history repeats itself as it has over and over again, precip in the triad will quickly wind down once the low moves north of hatteras. Book it. TW

It happened on Saturday morning during the storm of the century. No power but it came through on the weather radio. TW

Thanks for that. I was at Big Sky skiing for that one. I didn’t realize you guys had one. I’m pretty certain we did not in the triad. TW

I've lived in NC for 59 years and we have had a blizzard warning only once in the March '93 Superstorm. Maybe we can get there again this weekend. TW

15:1 vs 10:1 …… just take what it shows and multiply times 1.5. TW

It really hits the breaks and is near ideal location for central NC. I'm surprised there isn't more precip. TW