RedSky

Is there a reason low temperatures frequently bust low this fall it's unusual, after crushing it last night getting down to 20F it's already at 32F with a previous forecast of 30F overnight. Btw Trenton broke a record low last night by 5F! That is almost unheard of in this age of warm. Next week an even colder airmass is on the way. This is the kind of too early anomalous cold i was fretting about. On track i see for the coldest first half of November since 1976, following last years record PV cold mid month. I hate to say it but Isotherm is going to nail the winter forecast lol.

Just saying 8-9" imby in an extra long winter for the region that was drawn out Nov-Mar was clearly my worst. Oh and multiple major arctic outbreaks thrown in too. Locally it was an over flowing septic tank of a winter. It was the most frozen mud one will ever see.

GFS has morphed into just that. Hello winter 2019 you were the worst.

Winter 2021 should be a good one

Isotherm's winter outlook is rather grim

0z runs will help clarify things...

ECM and Ukie in near perfect agreement so there it is.

Too early and we are not past weenie handbook rule #11 and what will the 12z ECM say. New GFS is like an 86 Ford Escort.

Ukie is an apps cutter. Good times are here again.

Looks like a partial PV intrusion this month not the full scale lobe like last November. Far below normal but not the 30F below like last year that was insane.

Wasn't the universal consensus only a week ago that a milder than normal November was likely?

Weenie handbook rule #11 Day 7-10 bullseye means game over man

1" snow central NJ

Last Novembers arctic PV drop was a 1 in 100 year event. GFS is close to making it 2 in 100, ECM is hinting at it as well. Last winter sucked big time let's not do this again.

Only a slight difference on the GFS vs ECM eh ^

Next weekend keeps trending colder, below freezing for highs in early November is anomalous cold. Then there's last Novembers radical mid November record PV attack seems real nutty weather is a common occurrence now. I don't think cold enough for snow weather is something we want to see this early, just cause it isn't timed with moisture to snow doesn't make it any less an omen.

Only an 8 hour power outage. An EF2 this time of year is a crazy happening is that a record strength?

Dodged the bullet with the big hype wind event a few weeks ago. This one is terrible timing being really late at night with rain continuing and crashing temps. Helloween

And it's dark. Little wind with the sharp front and power out. I got a rock.

"The gales of November came early..."

Bracing for impact in about 20 minutes time for the Edmund Fitzgerald tune.

The Helloween red line should be hitting in about 20 minutes. Flood light is on i might see flying tomb stones.

The line is holding together in NJ, not good not good at all. I like power.

Tornado near Belle Mead NJ east of the watch box, what did i say about over performing winds And it's ripping lol