Yeah i think the last few under performers got them cautious. This looks ok for N&W of I95 and is trending south to some degree. Also a positive note the ECM cuts off the precipitation soon after the change to rain for the snow/mix crowd so may not be one of those situations where you get the winter stuff and it is washed away.
Glass half full
I said better than 50/50 never said no chance and that GFS is a garbage scow. Now if it somehow "finds" arctic high to the north which is possible then it is no longer a rain look.
Big blizzard in Jan 2016 rest of winter was a sewer plant
Come on man 5" rain by tomorrow and a nasty mild last third of December better than 50/50 chance favorable it ain't
Hopefully improvement in January still too early.
Awesome another big rainstorm on the 22nd. After this week on my way to my first 10" rain December. It really has a chance no joke 5" will be on the books.
Mild last third of December is gaining favor due to Pacific influence. Seems like as the years accumulate that segment of December has a 70% chance of being non wintry, shouldn't we start naming it the December thaw? Makes more sense than January.
So the pack it in it's going to be a mild start to the holiday week the ECM has been showing now spits out near record cold. What is wrong with guidance these days these flips are gargantuan?
Few things in my younger years brought more fury then checking the snow lamp and seeing nothing but lil meteor streaks, in other words the change to rain had occured