The new snow hype GFS is one of the problems which hasn't changed since last winter, can't look at those fantasy winter maps. They corrected some of the issue where it snowed too much when boundary layers were garbage but the problem persists. But many are aware of these issues chalk this next debacle to the ECM miss handling the strong SE ridge.
What is more troubling is today's ECM day 10 and the tepid temperatures in north america all the arctic cold is on the other side of the pole, which is bad news for the last week of January pattern change.