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Everything posted by Hurricane Agnes
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2023-2024 OBS/Discussion
Hurricane Agnes replied to The Iceman's topic in Philadelphia Region
The bottom fell out overnight with the CAA, despite the breezes kicking up during that time, and my low was 23 this morning, with dp going as low as 15. It's been slow to recover with the weak sun but it's currently 29 with dp 18. Humidifiers working overtime. You and penndotguy with the "big shovels" at the ready! -
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You guys up there are probably fine. The trends have generally been more frozen than wet. The question mark would be a possible warm nose that might push up there at some point. 3k NAM.
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Oh I know.... I read something about it either last year or the year before last and it was fascinating to see what other data is fed into it outside of the "models" we (as in us lay folks) see.
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With the "warmish" ocean water, that was sure to bomb out but not down here based on where it emerges off the coast. The coastal hugger scenario has been a trend for the past couple days in any case.
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2023-2024 OBS/Discussion
Hurricane Agnes replied to The Iceman's topic in Philadelphia Region
Bottomed out at 34 this morning and made it up to 43 for a high with the sun out most of the time, but with some periods of unsettled weather as a weak front moved through. That front brought much drier air and it's currently 37 with dp down to 22. -
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Note the NAM ice & ZR maps. 18z GFS is running but the 19z NBM ain't buying what the NAM is selling.
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12z NAM is running right now (and we are coming into its range). Will have to see how it depicts any dynamics (since it is a convective model).
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I saw this video this morning on a news site and thought of this group! This is where the snow went (on the other side of the planet).
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The 18z EC goes out to 90, enough to get the gist of the coastal. Looks like the wacky (or as the AFD had it "windshield wiper" solutions from run to run) GFS.
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NBM has that built-in compromise... But the MA people further south from here look to be iced up real good.
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The 18z 12k NAM is just barely in its range. Oddly it seems similar to the 18z GFS (although the GFS won't get off the Miller-B type transfer - maybe its seeing a double-barrel or stacked low or something).
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