winter_rules

Couldn’t that have been said on any given day all winter long? I’m not trying to be a smart-ass but it seemed like the models consistently showed “wintry weather” being 4-10 days away all winter. Then it would disappear almost every time. Side note: I tracked snow cover at my house Jan 1 to Feb 29 and we were white 88.x% of the days, but never had an honest 6in on the ground. Seems very typical of recent winters.

You pretty much nailed everything. Much less down along Rte 12. Much more up on the hill. It looks like a solid 18”+ of new snow on the hill through Friday morning.

On Tug Hill between Turin and Constableville. Taken By my brother about 11:00am today while the band is north of the area.

The guy has Constableville and Inlet flipped. Oops.

As a former area resident, I suggest taking Route 11 the whole way, or at least get off I81 before you get into the heavy snow. I think there’s a decent chance of I81 turning into a dangerous parking lot. On Route 11 you can turn around or pull into a parking lot at any time. On I81 you are stuck until you get to the next exit which could be hours away in this type of weather. Keep your fuel tank full along with water, snacks, and blankets inside the car.

I was a junior in high school and we had tents set up in a hayfield for after prom but the 4” or 5” of heavy wet snow destroyed all the tents! Not to mention destroying the hopes of 16 and 17yr old boys after prom....

At 1,700FT in the NW Catskills, I have been generally estimating that 90% of our recent winters are white, but only 10% of the winter do we have 6”+ on the ground. I finally started tracking it on January 1 and, even with this horrible weather pattern, we were white for 24 of 31 days in January (about 77.5%). Never more than about 4” on the ground at any one time. I’m hoping to keep up the record keeping and really see how it averages out over the years. To be clear, we live in a rural high elevation area known for snow. Go a few miles North into the Susquehanna valley (Sidney, Oneonta, Binghamton) and it’s a whole different story.

Is the mountain west having a great year? It would be nice if the cause of our miserable weather is at least helping someone else out!!

Yes, very discouraging pattern. It is almost expected lately, though. End of December into early January seems to be warm and rainy many recent years. Our family has a few annual mini-vacations planned around birthdays and Jan 9th is looking questionable at best. Luckily I have one bathroom torn apart with a second one soon to follow so at least this early November weather gives me more time work on those....

My brother reports 14” of new snow on top of a few inches of hard snow currently on the ground on the east side of Tug Hill. -9° this morning!

It has been a rare full week of classic winter weather in the Catskills. Snow showers accumulating 1-3” every day on top of a decent (though underperforming in my particular location) initial storm and resulting snowpack. Forecasted low of 10° last night but temp fell to -3° for at least two hours this morning. We have friends coming over with their kids to play in the snow later today when it should be sunny and 30°....perfect winter weather for six kids who are 6yrs old or under! Then the meltdown commences. This is the true theme of winter around these parts nowadays. Build a decent snowpack over a few days, maybe a week, then wash it away in 24-48hrs. Not complaining, just noting the reality of winter now. We have to be ready to play as soon as it snows or we’ll miss the opportunity. Just have to hope it falls near a weekend! I hope everyone who has snow on the ground can get out and enjoy it today!

All sleet with just enough snowflakes mixed in to keep me optimistic for an imminent change over....all day long. Bottomed out at 12° last night and topped out at 28° today. Down to 26° and light sleet ongoing at 4:45pm. Patiently waiting for the transition back to snow but this warm air aloft seems fairly robust/persistent in our neck of the woods. We’ll see what the night/morning brings but I have to admit that several models did a pretty good job showing an area of lower snow accumulations extending northward just reaching into our area for at least the last two days. We probably missed out on a solid 4-6” today if it had been all snow.

Our total matches your description exactly, even the couple tree limbs down around the property!

We’re not having the snow fun that you guys are, but our guys all commented about the swing in temperatures today in the Binghamton - Corning area. It got warm mid-late morning and then by 1pm it had dropped 10°F with no discernible weather event (wind, more/less clouds, etc). Interesting but worthless tidbit....

It’s looking like this next snow event will miss us in the northern Catskills, but for now it is a beautiful wintery morning in early November. 6° and about 1.5in of snow making for a classic winter scene outside. Nearly full moon and clear skies last night made it look almost like daylight! Kids are going to try sledding when it warms up a little bit. For now we’re inside watching cartoons by the fire!