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snowmaker13

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Everything posted by snowmaker13

  1. Weird feeling having to go SOUTH to snowchase haha
  2. That was contingent on the STJ and Polar Jet phasing, not happening in this case.
  3. I'm waiting on the 12z suite before I throw in the towel
  4. Ensembles are converging on a general track solution now. Looks like a I-85 East special.
  5. I know it's Florida's dry season, but it's weird seeing the state cloud free. Orange crops are going to suffer tonight
  6. I agree time will tell. Of course the europeans would tailor their models to their own climate better I hope the SE can score this system, would help the snow drought here.
  7. If you look at H500 there is divergence aloft which would induce pressure falls at the surface. This isn't a overrunning event or a zipper low.
  8. The 12z is completely different from the 0z run. The GFS has been consistent for several runs showing the threat.
  9. Everyone is focused on precip when the low hasn't even formed yet. Models are hydrostatic. 500mb is what should be analyzed.
  10. Brad posted this last night. Looks like FV3 and HRRR is going to be the new NAM.
  11. The suspect ULL has entered CONUS. Soundings from it obviously changed models.
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