Volcanic Winter
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Everything posted by Volcanic Winter
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If we could just bag one moderate event before the super torch in the period coming up around the 11th-14th where the Euro showed a coastal yesterday, an unmitigated torch would go down quite a bit easier. Definitely may be some potential there, could just end up as rain or an inland only event for sure. But it’s better than absolutely zilch to watch. Depending upon timing I may be inadvertently chasing that one in NE. I’ll be sure to bring my good shell and an umbrella .
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Honestly, me too. But I accept I’m an anomaly there. My wife and I hike but never go or do anything in the summer. It’s just too hot. Prefer winter hiking in snow and cool spring / fall hiking. We’re going into NE for my bday next week and originally was hoping to get into some snowpack, but we’d have to go pretty far north at this point.
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Yeah, of course this is the winter we could’ve really used the shakeup of a SSW, which looked plausible until it didn’t. Would be all too fitting for us to get one in time for spring. If it’s going to happen, let it happen already and let’s at least try to get something out of it in March…
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23 here, feels nice. I should drop below 22 and that'll be my coldest low since the Dec arctic shot.
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Winter is seen as an impediment by the masses, and I think we’re collectively losing our tolerance to harsher conditions as we face milder and milder winters more frequently. It’s why I often try to imagine what would happen if you took the 2023 metro and dropped it into the middle of a harsh LIA winter where you could waltz across the Hudson (and the Delaware for that matter). It’s at least somewhat understandable accounting for how we acclimatize to temperature. Constantly pendulum flipping between torch and deep freeze doesn’t help people deal with colder temps.
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For the gamers among us:
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I actually suffer from SAD just like normies who hate winter, except I’m the exact opposite. I get it in the summer when it’s hot and gross, and I’m staring at the calendar counting down the days until summer ends.
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Had a few mins and was on climate.gov looking over temperature records for a station down by me out of curiosity. I landed on Jan 1962 which averaged 32 degrees at the Freehold station. However, it was comprised of multiple warmups to near 60 degrees (very familiar to us) but was completely offset by days with a high of 30 and lows in the low teens (seems less familiar these days). Just picked one random winter I can’t recall much about from discussion here. Obviously winters varied even then, but I still find it interesting how frequent we seem to be missing the colder part of the equation. It still happens obviously, but winters then seemed to have a different character fairly often IMO. It’s definitely interesting to go back and review daily temperature record keeping.
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Canada is supposed to stay cold at least, yes? Seems better than Jan where cold was scoured out of all of North America. At the very least doesn’t that by itself allow for some chances if we get “lucky,” or is the ridge simply expected to be so strong it won’t matter?
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I thought about trying to measure what fell, then I looked to my left and right and saw my neighbors getting ready to leave for work. For the sake of my dignity I avoided sticking a ruler into the somewhere between trace and .3 inches. Happy everyone got something, but yikes this winter. I’ve never paid so much attention to a dusting in my life, honestly.
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I'll take what I can get but part of the appeal for me was that this was to be an area wide event. Don't want anyone getting screwed...
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Gross January.
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“March, will you suck too?”
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I was definitely kidding, but it’s that kind of winter where an inch feels like a jackpot .
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Stop bragging, it’s unbecoming.
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ACY jackpot. Should I chase? Only an hour south of me.
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This was such a good storm, honestly. 16 inches down my way as I’ve shared previously, but what made this storm really fun was the 22f temps at time of peak snowfall. Cold storm with perfect powder. Best storm for my area since 2018. But Feb 2021 was great where I work (Hillside), 18 Inches here in that one.
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There’s a coastal on the GFS with a reasonably good track; it’s rain up to coastal Maine. The thermals are a problem for everything this year.
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No joke Sandy was nuts down here. My parents live on the barrier islands…. Crazy time. Also the most pitiful flurry going over in Hillside. Roughly 10 flakes /hr. I’ll take it?
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I often think about how a standard issue “cold” LIA winter would be viewed today in the northeast (really Virginia to Maine). I don’t even mean the harshest winters of that era, just a more typical cold winter. It would seem crazy to us now. I think Bluewave posted temperature records going back a ways and even in the era after the LIA but before warming accelerated, the average temperatures of a “normal” winter were just so much colder than anything we have a frame of reference for today. Obviously we’re lucky to live in a better era as a society nowadays, but I absolutely wish I could time travel back to experience what real east coast winters were like. Read up on (anyone) what the 1810’s were supposed to be like in the wake of the monstrous “mystery’’ eruption of 1808/9 and then the even larger Tambora in 1815. Supposedly this decade is one of the coldest known. But hey, now we have frequent non - winters and people hate snow anyway, so win?
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Nah, signed up last January (before Hunga Tonga erupted, funnily enough). Began reading the forums I believe last November before making an account. 2021 unfortunately was much less eventful down my ways, still got snow but not nearly the bombardment up north received. The big Feb 1 storm gave me at my house 5-6 inches but 18+ at my work west of NYC. Was a fun up at work at least.
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January/February Mid/Long Range Disco IV: A New Hope
Volcanic Winter replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
Most of these systems have even brought rain into SNE. CT has something like 0-4 inches on the season south to north. This is awful for everyone not in interior / NNE, and even most of them are well below averages. -
Sorry man, this is brutal. Not even having the excitement of a trackable event even if it doesn’t pan out for one area or another is especially tough. It just feels like an endless shutout without any dopamine injection from a model showing at least a quasi-favorable outcome in the short range. Most fun I’ve had on AmericanWX was in the lead up to 1/29/22, and second most fun was going back and skimming the threads from old storms the past decade.
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I should’ve savored the 09-16 period more than I did. Lived all over the state in that timeframe and just had too much going on to really appreciate it, but I have a feeling that will end up the best six - seven year stretch of winters (yes even with a bad one in there, lot easier to take sandwhiched between great winters) I’m likely to see. Was in Long Branch for that Dec 09 crushjob, then North Brunswick for Boxing Day, ultimately landing where I am now just before the 13-16 period where I actually had snow that persisted for weeks at a time. Obviously a rarity down here, because it requires a real winter not transient cold shots muted by torch.
