Volcanic Winter
-
Posts
1,513 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by Volcanic Winter
-
Hopefully this works out and portends a shift in our fortunes for March. No guarantees, but having some level of potential again is refreshing.
-
Sitting this one out (at home at least), but super pumped you guys will be seeing respectable snow. Enjoy it after this horrific excuse of a winter. I’ll at least get to play for a bit in it working where I do west of NYC. Hoping we bust high but keeping expectations modest. 1-2” would be amazing after all of this crap. Just hoping for one snow event making it down my ways, but I normally need a 1/29/22 type deal with a strong coastal with well entrenched cold air, something that’s been entirely absent this year. Hoping upcoming prospects might offer at least one table scrap but, as mentioned, can always enjoy what I can while at work. Certainly better than nothing! cheers guys
-
On the subject of warmth; is it true that CFa Humid Subtropical climate zoning has reached the Cape and even as far north as Boston along the immediate Mass coastline? I saw some suggestion those locations have begun to surpass the 32F coldest month average for the CFa / DFa (Humid Continental) cutoff. I’ve even seen maps reflecting this. If so, that’s absolutely bewildering. Of course it also depends on the year / season, and I’m not sure how many years get factored into when they make these adjustments / shifts for various locations. Of course this winter many DFa locations would surpass criteria for CFa, but wouldn’t be shifted off a single year. I clearly recall quite a while ago when I first learned of the Koppen climate classification system (perhaps 15-20 years ago?) that CFa only extended into extreme southern NJ (Cape May) and certainly not up to NYC. Now I’ve read the whole lower HV technically qualifies in addition to Boston (again, if true which is why I’m asking). Wild.
-
Duly noted friend, but still an improvement upon my current location. Have been planning to move for years and not just solely for climate reasons. But with the wifey on board, north we go! I’m also hedging against the upward creep of the southern inferno. Good lord has it been getting insufferable here in the summer time with heat and dews for days and days and days. Even a few degrees is an improvement, so I’ll take it! Where do I sign? Hehe.
-
Absolutely spot on. I genuinely fetishize cold and snow. Living where I am now, the goods come quite a bit rarer than for most of you, though occasionally I partake in the big ones with you. 1/29/22 brought me 16 inches before it clobbered many of you, and I was genuinely up early just hanging out in it outside, savoring every flake falling at a perfect 22f. We do enjoy winter hiking, was just in Northern interior Iceland for two weeks this past November and the snowpack there in certain spots was just mindblowingly awesome. We’re looking to move into either northwestern Nj, the lower HV, or the Danbury area of CT within the next couple years. Good first steps, have to stay generally in this area for now for several reasons. But in the future? All bets are off and I’ve made my intentions clear that I want to keep moving north, and well we’re still married so that’s a good sign!
-
Truly jealous, winter despite the non winter for most even just south of you as you point out. I would genuinely love to live up there. One day, perhaps. I have my retirement sights on moving to NNE. Been slowly warming my wife up to the idea. I’ve gotten her more and more into winter hiking in snowcover (we travel often). Enjoy what many others have been lacking this winter!
-
I topped out at 68. Looks to be falling now with precipitation and cloud cover.
-
Boxing Day is still my favorite of all time. Dropped mid 20’s in North Brunswick where I lived at the time and about the same where I live now. The perfect coastal snowstorm IMHO. But that one skunked far more people than any of the other major historic storms so I understand why it’s not as universally beloved. And honestly Dec 09 was epic for me too, lived in Long Branch and got absolutely clobbered there. Vivid memories of it.
-
I’m at 57 at the moment. About the same in Hillside (west of Newark).
-
Nope, not checking it again until next December Lol.
-
I’m averaging 39.9 on my home weather station for the month of February. Positively wintry compared to the 41.5 for January.
-
67 here currently. I could appreciate this if we at least had a quasi normal winter, but given this is occurring during one of the warmest winters ever with almost zero snowfall, I’m actually fairly disgusted by it. By all means, enjoy it guys. Someone should, right? I mean other than all the bugs I see just having a grand old time.
-
Snowman (or anyone), regarding the persistence of the Southeast ridge, what do you see as needing to occur to finally see its winter influence reduced? Is an ENSO shakeup enough or is it more deeply tied to SST forcings in other areas? This is something I don’t know much about but am curious to learn.
-
Lows still look solidly AN, though highs are a definite improvement. What’s been happening to the nightly low temperatures has been the scariest aspect of our 2016+ climate regime, IMO. Especially noticeable in the city with the full brunt of the UHI, but everywhere lately apparently can’t even approach average nightly lows. This year we needed unmitigated arctic cold to get below average at night, and haven’t been anywhere close since.
-
It’s crazy how much worse this DJF period would look if Dec didn’t feature the cold shots and stretch of slightly BN temps that it did. It’s keeping the DJF average from looking more extreme. Would be a lot more digestible this year if we just had a super front and back loaded winter with snow only in Dec and March. We know one of those didn’t happen, but how about the other? If the SSW enacts a surface response and we see an -NAO, I gotta believe NYC gets a pity advisory / warning event out of it. My expectations are thoroughly welded to the floor, but hey, you never know, right? At least the unfolding shakeup leaves the door open to at least see a flake before the spring summer torching begins. Also, was just up in Danbury CT for my birthday with my wifey. We had a great little trip, but it felt so wrong being in parks at almost 1k ft elevation with not a single snow pile anywhere to be seen:
-
That sucks man, sorry to hear that. You live in a very beautiful area, my wife and I have been absolutely loving our trip up here.
-
I haven’t been following things too closely as we’ve been on a trip, but do you think there’ll be any sort of improvement at the end of the month into March? Any chance for cold and snow, or is it still a long shot. Just curious, seemed like it was still all over the place with at least some potential when I left. Not expecting any miracles of course, I’ll settle for an advisory event at this point. Thanks
-
Wife and I are up in Danbury CT area. Really nice up here. Perfect, except for the bare ass ground . Definitely expected snow on the ground when we planned this trip, we’re also nearly one thousand feet elevation in this park, too. You know this winter sucks when there’s not a single pile of snow anywhere near here. At least we’re having a fun time despite.
-
Man, this winter couldn’t be any more depressing. My wife and I are a taking a trip up to Connecticut for my birthday weekend and are gonna spend some time outdoors. Was planning to hike a few of the parks in the hills of NW CT, and at the time we planned this, thought it unlikely we wouldn’t be able to get into some snow. Little did I know we’d damn near have to go to the Canadian border this winter… We’ll still have fun I’m sure, but just… ugh. What a winter.
-
55 back here in Toms River / Manchester. Home early today, starting a nice vacation week. If only snow wasn’t seemingly a metaphysical impossibility this weekend …
-
Bluewave, Don, etc; is NYC approaching any kind of record for number of DJF days above freezing, or without lows going below freezing at all? Curious about that. Thank you guys.
-
Had to run over to Bayonne and it feels much cooler than EWR. Haven’t checked temps or anything but noticeable difference in air feel, unless I’m mistaken. May be due to breeze? Feels windier here.
-
I’m near EWR right now and it’s unbelievably mild already. Feels absolutely like spring.
-
Man, am I happy 1/29 worked out for me last year. Didn’t realize how much I’d be clinging to that storm. I will ALWAYS take the cold, always. I know occasionally it works against us, I know it’s not always “needed,” but there was nothing sweeter than getting 16 inches of powder at a wintry 22f. There is nothing worse than a good track coastal with temp issues even up through NYC. That’s just… painful. I’m expecting nothing but counting rain bands down here, but I really hope you guys further north get something out of this. Fingers crossed.
-
In all seriousness, thought it was okay for the GFS to show a storm to the south at this point as it normally corrects NW with time? Or is that no longer something the GFS does / and or not applicable in this set up? Genuinely asking. Didn’t have any expectations anyway as it seemed very, very low odds of a favorable outcome without any support from other models and warm temp profile.
